The US Dollar should appreciate this year as risk returns to the forefront – NBF
Source Fxstreet
After ending 2023 on a weak note on the anticipation of a H1 2024 pivot by the Fed, the USD is back on an uptrend. Economists at the National Bank of Canada analyze Dollar’s outlook.
Growth in the US to stumble in 2024
Going forward, there are some signs that rate cuts by the Fed may not be the first to occur among the world’s central banks as inflation surprises on the upside.
We expect growth in the US to stumble in 2024.
We believe the Dollar should appreciate this year as risk returns to the forefront.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 20, 2026. Read on for the details.
Dollar presses 102 as the 10-year yield sits at 5.14% — and October hike odds are only 17%The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
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