USD Index set to test and breach the YTD high at 103.82 – MUFG

Source Fxstreet

US Dollar Index (/DXY) edges higher above 103.50 following strong GDP growth in the US. Economists at MUFG Bank analyze Dollar’s outlook.

USD upside potential as growth outperforms

We now go into next week’s FOMC meeting on the back of a much stronger GDP print but still compelling evidence of disinflation. 

The tone from Fed Chair Jerome Powell is likely to remain cautious on near-term rate cuts being delivered but just like with the ECB on Thursday, a more favourable tone on inflation could be enough to keep alive expectations of a cut in March. 

The near-term US Dollar bias remains to the upside though and we look set to test and breach the year-to-date high in DXY recorded on Tuesday at 103.82.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,350 as US Dollar, Treasury yields slipGold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 03, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
placeholder
Gold rebounds past $4,400 as rate-hike odds cool ahead of NFPGold is back above $4,400 after weak ADP data cut September rate-hike odds to ~58%. XAU/USD rebounded from Wednesday's $4,282 low; Friday's NFP is the next catalyst.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 03, Thu
Gold is back above $4,400 after weak ADP data cut September rate-hike odds to ~58%. XAU/USD rebounded from Wednesday's $4,282 low; Friday's NFP is the next catalyst.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,450 as Waller tempers Fed rate hike bets ahead US jobs dataGold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 32
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
placeholder
Yen hits one-month high on BOJ September-hike bets; AUD/JPY cracks support as carry unwindsUSD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 06: 52
USD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote