The window for improvement in the USD may be closing a little – Scotiabank

The US Dollar is trading generally lower again after failing to build on Tuesday’s gains against the majors. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Greenback’s outlook.

DXY weakness below 102.90 may spell a bit more softness in the big Dollar in the short run

The moves in the USD over the past week or so have been rather limited but they may be significant – particularly the USD’s failure to capitalize on the DXY’s push through the 103.50 area on Tuesday. 

Short-termism may be a factor for investors who are unwilling to stick with positioning for too long amid an uncertain backdrop. But the window for improvement in the USD may be closing a little. 

Seasonally, Q1 is usually USD-positive but typically, the best of that comes in January history shows us.

DXY weakness below 102.90 may spell a bit more softness in the big Dollar in the short run at least.