Forex Today: Can US PCE confirm a rate cut in September?

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback alternated gains with losses amidst further appreciation of the Japanese yen and a decent pullback in US yields across the curve, while firmer-than-expected US data appear to have trimmed some rate cut bets in September.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 26:

The USD Index (DXY) remained on the defensive in the low-104.00s, always closely following developments around the Japanese yen and expectations of rate cuts beyond the summer. On July 26, the PCE readings will take centre stage seconded by Personal Income, Personal Spending and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

EUR/USD set aside two consecutive daily declines and climbed to two-day highs near 1.0870. The ECB will release its Consumer Inflation Expectations survey on July 26.

GBP/USD remained on the back foot for the third session in a row following rising speculation of a rate cut by the BoE next week. The UK calendar will be empty on July 26.

Following fresh lows in the sub-152.00 zone, USD/JPY managed to reverse that early move and approach the 154.00 barrier towards the end of the NA session. The Tokyo inflation figures along the final readings of the Coincident Index and the Leading Economic Index are due on July 26.

AUD/USD extended its intense bearish move to the boundaries of the 0.6500 level for the first time since early May. There will be no data releases in Australia on July 26.

Prices of WTI added to Wednesday’s uptick and reclaimed the area beyond the $78.00 mark per barrel.

Traders cashed up part of recent gains and motivated Gold prices to retreat to multi-day lows around $2,360 per ounce troy. Silver, in the meantime, sold off to fresh two-month lows in the sub-$28.00 region per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Gold prices rise to over one-month high on softer dollar, bond yieldsGold prices climbed on Tuesday to their highest point in more than a month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields.
Author  Reuters
Jul 22, 2025
Gold prices climbed on Tuesday to their highest point in more than a month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and lower Treasury yields.
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Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 06, Tue
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
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WTI rises to near $89.50 as Middle East supply threats offset Persian Gulf recoveryWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 07, Wed
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
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Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 32
Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
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【Daily Brief】Gold rebounds 1% off a two-month low, Nasdaq drops 1.25% and yields ease — the storm premium keeps WTI near $91Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
Author  Irene Q.
5 hours ago
Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
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