Forex Today: Can US PCE confirm a rate cut in September?

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback alternated gains with losses amidst further appreciation of the Japanese yen and a decent pullback in US yields across the curve, while firmer-than-expected US data appear to have trimmed some rate cut bets in September.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 26:

The USD Index (DXY) remained on the defensive in the low-104.00s, always closely following developments around the Japanese yen and expectations of rate cuts beyond the summer. On July 26, the PCE readings will take centre stage seconded by Personal Income, Personal Spending and the final Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

EUR/USD set aside two consecutive daily declines and climbed to two-day highs near 1.0870. The ECB will release its Consumer Inflation Expectations survey on July 26.

GBP/USD remained on the back foot for the third session in a row following rising speculation of a rate cut by the BoE next week. The UK calendar will be empty on July 26.

Following fresh lows in the sub-152.00 zone, USD/JPY managed to reverse that early move and approach the 154.00 barrier towards the end of the NA session. The Tokyo inflation figures along the final readings of the Coincident Index and the Leading Economic Index are due on July 26.

AUD/USD extended its intense bearish move to the boundaries of the 0.6500 level for the first time since early May. There will be no data releases in Australia on July 26.

Prices of WTI added to Wednesday’s uptick and reclaimed the area beyond the $78.00 mark per barrel.

Traders cashed up part of recent gains and motivated Gold prices to retreat to multi-day lows around $2,360 per ounce troy. Silver, in the meantime, sold off to fresh two-month lows in the sub-$28.00 region per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Drops Below $80,000 in Fifth Straight Loss, May Test $75,000 as FOMC Meeting Approaches Bitcoin falls below the $80,000 mark as the October FOMC decision approaches, threatening a further dip toward $75,000.On October 26, Bitcoin (BTC) again lost the key psychological mark o
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
Bitcoin falls below the $80,000 mark as the October FOMC decision approaches, threatening a further dip toward $75,000.On October 26, Bitcoin (BTC) again lost the key psychological mark o
placeholder
Gold breaks $4,000 as oil becomes the inflation problem — $3,943 is the line that mattersSpot gold closed at $3,995.6 on October 23, down about 4.1% for the week and at its lowest since mid-July, and traded near $3,988 on October 26 even as Brent crude settled at $116.72 and Middle East supply risk stayed elevated. The war premium stopped working because oil is now the inflation trade: December Fed hike odds are 68.9% and the 10-year yield is 4.988%. Here are the three numbers, the transmission chain, and the July low at $3,943 that decides whether this is a bottom or a bigger correction.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
Spot gold closed at $3,995.6 on October 23, down about 4.1% for the week and at its lowest since mid-July, and traded near $3,988 on October 26 even as Brent crude settled at $116.72 and Middle East supply risk stayed elevated. The war premium stopped working because oil is now the inflation trade: December Fed hike odds are 68.9% and the 10-year yield is 4.988%. Here are the three numbers, the transmission chain, and the July low at $3,943 that decides whether this is a bottom or a bigger correction.
placeholder
Big Tech's $800 billion AI bill faces its first real test — free cash flow is the judgeAlphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
Author  Irene Q.
16 hours ago
Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 26, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
20 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
WTI drops to near 101.00 as Trump rules out immediate Iranian strikesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after registering over 4% gains in the previous trading day, hovering around $101.10 during Asian hours on Monday.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after registering over 4% gains in the previous trading day, hovering around $101.10 during Asian hours on Monday.
goTop
quote