Higher yields will help lift the USD in the near-term – Scotiabank

The USD is ending the week little changed overall. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Dollar’s outlook.

Revised Fed bets should support USD

US CPI data came in a bit hotter than expected and underlying trends in (services especially) remain elevated. Market-driven estimates of inflation reflect confidence that headline prices will be running nearer to 2% by mid-year. But achieving anything even close to that will require a sustained (and perhaps very unlikely) run of very soft inflation prints in the next few months. If inflation proves even slightly resilient and the broader economy continues to hold up, some further adjustment in expectations for the March FOMC seems likely.

Higher yields will help lift the USD in the near-term. 

Recall that USD seasonals and broader technical pointers are leaning bullish.