Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH eyes support near $2,800 as investors book over $100 million in losses

Ethereum price today: $3,010

• Ethereum investors realized over $100 million in losses following increased signs of panic selling.
• The 30-day MVRV Ratio decline below 10% indicates ETH may see a recovery soon.
• Ethereum could find support near the $2,800 key level after an 8% decline.

Ethereum trades close to the $3,000 psychological level, down 8%, following over $100 million in realized losses. The top altcoin could bounce off the $2,817 support level after the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio declined below 10%.

Ethereum investors book losses as MVRV indicates signs of a potential price bounce

Ethereum opened the week with a decline as signs of panic selling increased among investors. The Network Realized Profit/Loss metric showed that investors booked over $100 million in losses in the past 24 hours.

Ethereum Network Realized Profit/Loss & Mean Coin Age. Source: Santiment

Despite the slight increase in realized losses, the Mean Coin Age metric, which measures the average number of days all ETH tokens have remained in their addresses, has remained in an upward trend. This indicates a slight bias toward the buy-side, as spot traders may be scooping up the dip.

Additionally, ETH's 30-day MVRV Ratio — which measures the average profit/loss of all investors who bought the token in the past 30 days — declined below -10%. ETH may see a recovery as prices tend to bounce whenever the 30-day MVRV Ratio crosses below -10%.

ETH MVRV (30-day). Source: Santiment

Meanwhile, US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded their largest weekly net outflows since July after shedding a net $186 million last week, per Coinglass data. The outflows spanned across all major issuers, with BlackRock being the only outlier to record net inflows of $124.1 million.

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH could find support near $2,800 after 8% decline

Ethereum's 8% dive sparked over $182 million in futures liquidations in the past 24 hours, per Coinglass data. The total amount of liquidated long positions reached $152.50 million, while short liquidations were $29.84 million.

The top altcoin completed the target of a rounding top and double-top pattern on Monday after briefly declining below the $3,000 psychological level. If ETH fails to find support at $3,000, it could test the $2,817 level, which was held as a key support between April and July.

ETH/USDT 8-hour chart

A daily candlestick close below $2,817 could send ETH toward the historically high demand zone of $2,100 - $2,500, where investors purchased over 61 million ETH, per IntoTheBlock's data. However, a bounce off $2,817 could help ETH reclaim the $3,300 level.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) are in their oversold region, indicating ETH may recover soon.

A daily candlestick close above $3,550 will invalidate the thesis.