Bitcoin sustains $57K despite August CPI report

Source Fxstreet
  • US August CPI data revealed a slight increase in the monthly inflation rate, rising by 0.2%.
  • The crypto market remained steady despite the inflation report, as predictions favor the possibility of a 25 bps rate cut.
  • Bitcoin has experienced sharp declines in trading activity among centralized exchanges, per Glassnode's monthly data.

The crypto market saw slight declines after the US monthly inflation data came in at a 0.2% increase on Wednesday. The steady prices suggest that investors are not panicking at the possibility of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut as opposed to earlier anticipation of a 50 bps cut.

Crypto market unfazed by low inflation data

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August came in lower than expected, declining 2.5% against July's 2.9% on a yearly basis. At the same time, the annual core CPI stood at 3.2%, matching expectations. Notably, monthly CPI data increased 0.2% while core CPI rose 0.3%, per FXStreet inflation data report on Wednesday.

The increase in the monthly CPI data suggests that the possibility of a 50 bps interest rate cut in September by the Federal Reserve (Fed) may not be forthcoming. According to @KobeissiLetter, the likelihood of a 50 bps rate cut dropped to 8% after the CPI data release, meaning a 25 bps cut is more likely. A 25 bps cut should not  positively impact risk assets like cryptocurrencies.

Despite the changes it brought, the CPI data has yet to have heavy effects on the crypto market as Bitcoin has held the $57K price steady in the past few hours. Hence, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting slated for September 18 may prove vital for the future of the crypto market.

Meanwhile, Glassnode's weekly report suggests that mining activity among Bitcoin miners shows their resilience despite declining revenues. The mining hashrate for Bitcoin is approaching all-time highs, just behind by 1%. The present number of hashes required to mine a block is 338k exahash, which, the report notes, is the second-largest difficulty in the asset's history.

However, traders aren't displaying similar convictions as Bitcoin exchange volume has steadily declined since July.

Bitcoin Exchange Volume Momentum

Bitcoin Exchange Volume Momentum

Notably, the exchange spot trading volume has fallen over the past 90 days, adding "more weight to the idea that there has been a notable decline in trade activity over the last quarter.

Furthermore, the CVD metric —a tool that measures the net balance between market buying and selling in a spot market — revealed that selling pressures have grown among investors over the last 90 days.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
6 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
8 hours ago
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
9 hours ago
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
TradingKey Daily Market Briefing: CPI Data Boosts Rate Hike Expectations, Geopolitical Risks Spark Oil Price SurgeTracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
Author  TradingKey
15 hours ago
Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - The three major U.S. stock indices rose across the board last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.98%, the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 0.96%, a
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PPI and Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns, Can CPI Change Gold's Direction?As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Author  TradingKey
Sep 11, Fri
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Related Instrument
goTop
quote