AAVE price poised for a rally as on-chain data shows positive bias

Source Fxstreet
  • Coinglass open interest is rising and is at its highest this year, indicating an influx of new money.
  • Santiment daily active addresses are rising, signaling a bullish move.
  • Investors should be cautious about spikes in the Network Realized Profit/Loss metric.

 

AAVE (AAVE) has surged 15% since Monday and is maintaining its upward momentum with a 3.5% increase to $133.42 for the third straight day on Wednesday. On-chain data shows that AAVE's open interest data and daily active addresses are rising, signaling the continuation of the bullish trend.

 

AAVE price gains traction as on-chain data suggests a positive trend

Data from CoinGlass shows that the futures' Open Interest (OI) in AAVE at exchanges is also increasing. The OI indicates the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that have not been settled (offset by delivery) and whether money flows into the contract are increasing or decreasing.

 

Increasing OI represents new or additional money entering the market and new buying, which suggests a bullish trend. When OI decreases, it is usually a sign that the market is liquidating, more investors are leaving, and the current price trend is ending.

 

The graph below shows that AAVE's OI increased from $106.24 million on Monday to $177.55 million on Wednesday, the highest OI since the start of this year. This indicates that new or additional money is entering the market and new buying is occurring.

AAVE Open Interest chart

AAVE Open Interest chart

Santiment's Daily Active Addresses index helps to track network activity over time. A rise in the metric signals greater blockchain usage, while declining addresses point to lower demand for the network.

 

In AAVE's case, Daily Active Addresses have risen by 65% from Monday to Wednesday. This rise is the highest since the end of December 2023 and indicates that demand for AAVE's blockchain usage is increasing, which could propel a rally in AAVE's price.

AAVE Daily Active Addresses chart

AAVE Daily Active Addresses chart

Additionally, Coinglass's long-to-short ratio stands at 51.06%. This ratio suggests a bullish sentiment in the market, as the number above 50% suggests that more trades anticipate that the price of AAVE will rise.

AAVE long-to-short ratio chart

AAVE long-to-short ratio chart

Despite new buying, greater blockchain usage, and increasing bullish sentiment, AAVE's Network Realized Profit/Loss metric shows an upward spike. This indicates that its holders are, on average, selling their holdings at a significant profit. Consequently, investors should not anticipate an immediate price rally for the token.

AAVE Network Realized Profit/Loss chart

AAVE Network Realized Profit/Loss chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 29, Thu
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 2, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 02, Mon
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 2, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 3, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 49
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 12
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Brent at $103.60: the peace trade is selling paper, but the physical market just drew 5.3 million barrelsBrent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Author  Irene Q.
3 hours ago
Brent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote