Privacy Coin Zcash (ZEC) Could Face a Price Setback After Stunning Run

Source Beincrypto

Zcash (ZEC), the decentralized cryptocurrency created to improve privacy in the blockchain sector, has seen its price increase by a staggering 90% in the last 30 days. 

This surge makes ZEC one of the top three performing altcoins. Trading at $41.36, this analysis explains why the coin may not be able to sustain its momentum.

The Storms Are Gathering Over Zcash Stellar Rally

On July 12, ZEC’s price was around $23.81, meaning the current price is almost double the value as of then. However, that is not the only part that has changed.

According to CoinGecko, the market cap has also substantially increased. On the same day, the cryptocurrency traded around the aforementioned price; Zcash’s market cap was $360.68 million.

For context, the market cap is a product of price and circulating supply. Even though the project’s maximum supply is 21 million —  the same as Bitcoin (BTC), only 15.11 million are in circulation. At press time, the market capitalization had increased to $625.72 million, indicating that the price increase was crucial to this significant jump.

Read more: Top 7 Privacy Coins in 2024

Zcash Market CapitalizationZcash Market Capitalization. Source: CoinGecko

Despite this increase, ZEC’s volume has taken the other route. On August 10, Zcash’s volume was over $145 million, suggesting that there was a lot of interest in the cryptocurrency. But as of this writing, the metric has fallen by 44.99%  to 79.66 million.

Typically, rising volume alongside rising price is a bullish sign, suggesting that there is more buying power than selling.  Conversely, when volume decreases in this situation, it implies that bulls are losing dominance, and the crypto price involved risks shedding some of its value. Therefore, if the volume continues to fall, ZEC’s price could fall below $41 in the short term.

Zcash Volume
Zcash Volume. Source: Santiment

ZEC Price Prediction: Gains Days Over, Retracement Next

ZEC’s notable uptrend began in July. During that period, the coin rose from less than $18 to hit $34.75 on August 3. Moments after this, the price faced rejection, dropping to a swing low of  $25.43.

However, supported by increasing bullish momentum, the coin reached a peak of $42.97. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 77.02 at press time. The RSI is a technical indicator that measures the magnitude of speed and price changes to determine momentum.

It also tells when a cryptocurrency is overbought or oversold. Readings at 70.00 or above mean a coin is overbought, while those at 30.00 are oversold. When oversold, the price of a crypto can reverse to the upside.

Therefore, in ZEC’s case, a retracement could be next. Using the Fibonacci retracement levels —  an indicator helpful in identifying support and resistance,  ZEC’s price could drop to $37.18 in the short term.

Read more: Zcash (ZEC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Zcash Daily Analysis. 
Zcash Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a bounce from this level may halt another downturn. Instead, particularly if buying pressure increases, ZEC may exceed $42.97 and probably test the $44 region.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollarSpot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
Author  Suzie
Sep 20, Sun
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
placeholder
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 06: 34
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
6 hours ago
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
6 hours ago
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
goTop
quote