Privacy Coin Zcash (ZEC) Could Face a Price Setback After Stunning Run

Source Beincrypto

Zcash (ZEC), the decentralized cryptocurrency created to improve privacy in the blockchain sector, has seen its price increase by a staggering 90% in the last 30 days. 

This surge makes ZEC one of the top three performing altcoins. Trading at $41.36, this analysis explains why the coin may not be able to sustain its momentum.

The Storms Are Gathering Over Zcash Stellar Rally

On July 12, ZEC’s price was around $23.81, meaning the current price is almost double the value as of then. However, that is not the only part that has changed.

According to CoinGecko, the market cap has also substantially increased. On the same day, the cryptocurrency traded around the aforementioned price; Zcash’s market cap was $360.68 million.

For context, the market cap is a product of price and circulating supply. Even though the project’s maximum supply is 21 million —  the same as Bitcoin (BTC), only 15.11 million are in circulation. At press time, the market capitalization had increased to $625.72 million, indicating that the price increase was crucial to this significant jump.

Read more: Top 7 Privacy Coins in 2024

Zcash Market CapitalizationZcash Market Capitalization. Source: CoinGecko

Despite this increase, ZEC’s volume has taken the other route. On August 10, Zcash’s volume was over $145 million, suggesting that there was a lot of interest in the cryptocurrency. But as of this writing, the metric has fallen by 44.99%  to 79.66 million.

Typically, rising volume alongside rising price is a bullish sign, suggesting that there is more buying power than selling.  Conversely, when volume decreases in this situation, it implies that bulls are losing dominance, and the crypto price involved risks shedding some of its value. Therefore, if the volume continues to fall, ZEC’s price could fall below $41 in the short term.

Zcash Volume
Zcash Volume. Source: Santiment

ZEC Price Prediction: Gains Days Over, Retracement Next

ZEC’s notable uptrend began in July. During that period, the coin rose from less than $18 to hit $34.75 on August 3. Moments after this, the price faced rejection, dropping to a swing low of  $25.43.

However, supported by increasing bullish momentum, the coin reached a peak of $42.97. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 77.02 at press time. The RSI is a technical indicator that measures the magnitude of speed and price changes to determine momentum.

It also tells when a cryptocurrency is overbought or oversold. Readings at 70.00 or above mean a coin is overbought, while those at 30.00 are oversold. When oversold, the price of a crypto can reverse to the upside.

Therefore, in ZEC’s case, a retracement could be next. Using the Fibonacci retracement levels —  an indicator helpful in identifying support and resistance,  ZEC’s price could drop to $37.18 in the short term.

Read more: Zcash (ZEC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Zcash Daily Analysis. 
Zcash Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a bounce from this level may halt another downturn. Instead, particularly if buying pressure increases, ZEC may exceed $42.97 and probably test the $44 region.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Author  FXStreet
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Author  Mitrade
12 hours ago
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
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