Mitrade Insights is dedicated to providing investors with rich, timely and most valuable financial information to help investors grasp the market situation and find timely trading opportunities.

2021

Best News & Analysis Provider

FxDailyInfo

2022

Best Forex Educational Resources Global

International Business Magazine

Insights

News

Cryptocurrencies

Legendary Trader Warns: Bitcoin Could Plunge Below $50,000 If These Key Levels Break

Source Newsbtc

Renowned trader Peter Brandt recently provided insights on the Bitcoin price potential market movements, projecting a challenging period followed by a significant rally.

This analysis comes as Bitcoin’s current trading behavior exhibits signs that might concern short-term investors.

Bitcoin’s Precarious Path: Potential Drop and Subsequent Rally

Brandt’s analysis indicates that if Bitcoin breaks the $65,000 threshold, it could trigger a further drop to around $60,000, potentially dipping as low as $48,000.

So far, Bitcoin has struggled to sustain momentum above the $70,000 mark, showing a decline of 5.6% over the past week to a current value of $67,170.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Despite the somewhat grim short-term outlook, Brandt identifies a silver lining with the potential for substantial recovery. His analysis outlines the immediate risks and hints at a rebound, which he terms the “pump” phase following the “dump.”

Chart of interest – Bitcoin $BTC Sometimes the most obvious interpretations of a chart work out, most of the time the charts morph. But the most obvious is this: Break through 65,000, then mkt goes to 60,000 Break through 60,000 mkt goes to 48,000 pic.twitter.com/JsXXVx2EhV

— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) June 13, 2024

According to Brandt, this pattern typifies the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets and could serve as a pivotal moment for investors.

Earlier in the year, he made similar observations when Bitcoin was trading at $42,300, suggesting these cycles are common features of bull markets and play a crucial role in distinguishing between novice traders and experienced investors.

JPMorgan Cautions On Bitcoin Touted ETF Demand

Meanwhile, financial institutions like JPMorgan have scrutinized the broader implications of market dynamics on Bitcoin’s valuation. JPMorgan has recently highlighted concerns regarding the overestimation of demand for Bitcoin ETFs.

Their analysis suggests that much of the recent inflow into Bitcoin ETFs does not represent new capital but rather a rotation from traditional cryptocurrency exchange wallets to “more regulated and seemingly secure” ETFs.

This shift has been driven by “cost-effectiveness, regulatory protection, and deeper liquidity” ETFs offer over conventional crypto wallets.

JPM SAYS #BITCOIN ETF DEMAND OVERSTATED BY 2x –>

“Not all of these inflows represent fresh money entering the crypto space as we believe there has likely been a significant rotation away from digital wallets on exchanges to the new spot bitcoin ETFs. This is due to the cost… pic.twitter.com/l23mDv4Gmd

— matthew sigel, recovering CFA (@matthew_sigel) June 13, 2024

Moreover, following the introduction of spot ETFs, there has been a noticeable decline in BTC reserves on exchanges, indicating that while ETFs are becoming a preferred vehicle for Bitcoin exposure, the overall increase in institutional demand might not be as strong as previously thought.

JPMorgan estimates that actual net flows into Bitcoin ETFs since January stand at about $12 billion, challenging the bullish narrative of massive institutional demand.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Recommended Articles

Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks in The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.

Author Irene Q.

Sep 17, Thu

The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.

Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollar Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.

Author Suzie

Sep 20, Sun

Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.

Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonight The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.

Author Suzie

Yesterday 06: 34

The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.

October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changed Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.

Author Irene Q.

7 hours ago

Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.

Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anyway Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.

Author Irene Q.

6 hours ago

Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.

Popular Symbols