Legendary Trader Warns: Bitcoin Could Plunge Below $50,000 If These Key Levels Break

Source Newsbtc

Renowned trader Peter Brandt recently provided insights on the Bitcoin price potential market movements, projecting a challenging period followed by a significant rally.

This analysis comes as Bitcoin’s current trading behavior exhibits signs that might concern short-term investors.

Bitcoin’s Precarious Path: Potential Drop and Subsequent Rally

Brandt’s analysis indicates that if Bitcoin breaks the $65,000 threshold, it could trigger a further drop to around $60,000, potentially dipping as low as $48,000.

So far, Bitcoin has struggled to sustain momentum above the $70,000 mark, showing a decline of 5.6% over the past week to a current value of $67,170.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Despite the somewhat grim short-term outlook, Brandt identifies a silver lining with the potential for substantial recovery. His analysis outlines the immediate risks and hints at a rebound, which he terms the “pump” phase following the “dump.”

According to Brandt, this pattern typifies the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets and could serve as a pivotal moment for investors.

Earlier in the year, he made similar observations when Bitcoin was trading at $42,300, suggesting these cycles are common features of bull markets and play a crucial role in distinguishing between novice traders and experienced investors.

JPMorgan Cautions On Bitcoin Touted ETF Demand

Meanwhile, financial institutions like JPMorgan have scrutinized the broader implications of market dynamics on Bitcoin’s valuation. JPMorgan has recently highlighted concerns regarding the overestimation of demand for Bitcoin ETFs.

Their analysis suggests that much of the recent inflow into Bitcoin ETFs does not represent new capital but rather a rotation from traditional cryptocurrency exchange wallets to “more regulated and seemingly secure” ETFs.

This shift has been driven by “cost-effectiveness, regulatory protection, and deeper liquidity” ETFs offer over conventional crypto wallets.

Moreover, following the introduction of spot ETFs, there has been a noticeable decline in BTC reserves on exchanges, indicating that while ETFs are becoming a preferred vehicle for Bitcoin exposure, the overall increase in institutional demand might not be as strong as previously thought.

JPMorgan estimates that actual net flows into Bitcoin ETFs since January stand at about $12 billion, challenging the bullish narrative of massive institutional demand.

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 29, Tue
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
11 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
goTop
quote