What to expect from Bitcoin post halving, less than 70 blocks to go

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin price climbed to a high of $65,000 on Friday, hours ahead of the BTC halving event. 
  • Bitcoin halving countdown timer shows that the mining difficulty adjustment is 64 blocks away. 
  • Large holders and ETFs slow down their BTC acquisition and anticipate volatility around the halving. 

Bitcoin (BTC) halving is a mining difficulty adjustment that halves the reward for mining a BTC block once every 210,000 blocks, which is roughly every four years. With the event less than 70 blocks away, BTC price has recovered from its Wednesday low below $60,000. 

BTC price reached a high of $65,000 on Friday, covering lost ground as Bitcoin prepares for the halving event. 

How Bitcoin price will react to the halving

Bitcoin price suffered nearly 20% decline from its new all-time high of $73,777 on March 14 to its April 19 low of $59,600. As the halving draws close, Bitcoin price recovered and made a comeback above $65,000. 

Fortune reports that experts believe there may be an immediate “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect on price. Vetle Lunde, senior analyst at K33 Research, told Fortune that the compounding effect of the reduced BTC issuance takes months to materialize. Lunde, therefore, does not expect the halving to result in any meaningful rally, neither prior nor directly after the event. 

Lunde’s opinion is backed by analysts at Deutsche Bank, who state that “Bitcoin halving is already partially priced in by the market and we do not expect prices to increase significantly following the halving event. The Bitcoin halving has been widely anticipated in advance due to the nature of the Bitcoin algorithm. Looking ahead, we continue to expect prices to stay high due to (i) expectations of future spot Ethereum ETF approvals; (ii) future central bank rate cuts; and (iii) regulatory changes,” per a recent report.

Large holders and ETFs slow down activity

Data from crypto intelligence tracker CryptoQuant shows a noticeable slowdown in the acquisition of Bitcoin by large holders and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). Market uncertainties and the upcoming structural changes from the halving have likely influenced institutions.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin demand from accumulation addresses and ETFs

Bitcoin price is $64,374 at the time of writing.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 18, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 18, Fri
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote