Gold Price Forecast: Further XAU/USD recovery likely to be delayed – Commerzbank
Source Fxstreet
Gold (XAU/USD) has put the previous week's setback behind it and established itself above $2,000. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.
XAU/USD year-end forecast lowered by $50 to $2,100
The fact that the US Federal Reserve will probably not cut interest rates until later in the year was quickly shrugged off: after all, postponed is not cancelled.
Nevertheless, our new forecast, according to which the US economy will avoid a recession and the Fed will cut interest rates later and less sharply, is likely to have consequences for the Gold price.
The rise in the Gold price that we expect will be delayed and less pronounced than previously thought. We are therefore lowering our XAU/USD forecast for the end of the year by $50 to $2,100.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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October headline CPI rose 0.4% m/m against a 0.3% consensus, and core rose 0.3% for a third consecutive month against 0.2% expected. BLS published no year-on-year figures because October 2025 collection was lost to the government shutdown. Energy cooled to 0.7% from 5.2% — shelter, food and transport services did the rest. The 2-year yield jumped 18 to 21 basis points, the 10-year added 12, and the dollar closed at 102.25.
As of the Asian session on Wednesday (November 11), gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded slightly after a sharp decline in the previous session, last trading near $4,040, up about 0.3% on the d
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 11, 2026. Read on for the details.
On November 10, the three major U.S. stock indices edged lower. U.S. October inflation data exceeded market expectations, driving Treasury yields rapidly higher and
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