Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD advances despite rising US yields as bears take a breather

Source Fxstreet
  • The XAU/USD trades at $2,030 seeing gains of 0.43%.
  • Key indicators on the daily chart signal that the bears are catching their breath after last week's strong movements.
  • The four-hour chart outlook suggests potential upward bias, with a positive RSI incline and MACD's green bars.

On Tuesday's session, the Gold spot price XAU/USD was spotted trading at $2,030, reflecting a 0.43% gain, as the bears are taking a breather after last week's notable 2% loss. The daily chart presents a neutral-to-bearish sentiment with the bears while, the four-hour indicators are slightly tilted to the upside, suggesting an imminent potential shift in momentum.

Fundamentally speaking, strong US economic data and hawkish sentiments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) have led to significant selling of metals, causing doubts about an impending Fed rate-cutting cycle. In that sense, as markets start to adjust their bets on the Fed, the upside potential for the metal is capped, as it is causing US yields, often seen as the cost of holding non-yielding metals to rise.

XAU/USD technical levels

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is flat on the negative side. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays an equivalently flat activity with negative red bars evidencing bearish sentiment. Despite this, the metal continues to cling just below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), while managing to remain above the 100 and 200-day SMAs. The maintaining of a position above the longer-term SMAs underscores a ruling bullish perspective in a broader sense, even amidst the bearish undertones polarizing the immediate scenario, particularly after a 2% loss last week.

Zooming into the four-hour timeframe, the momentum subtly changes. The same indicators remain flat, albeit with a small bias towards a buying sentiment. As per the Relative Strength Index (RSI), it shows positive slope taking place within the positive domain. Concurrently, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reflects a stationary display of red bars.

XAU/USD daily chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 29, Tue
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
21 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
2 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Related Instrument
goTop
quote