Mitrade Insights is dedicated to providing investors with rich, timely and most valuable financial information to help investors grasp the market situation and find timely trading opportunities.

2021

Best News & Analysis Provider

FxDailyInfo

2022

Best Forex Educational Resources Global

International Business Magazine

Insights

News

Commodities

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD plunges to near $22 as Fed rate-cut optimism fades

Source Fxstreet

Silver price plummets to near $22 as the Fed is expected to reduce interest rates from May.
The USD Index struggles for a firm-footing despite easing Fed rate-cut bets.
Silver price declines further towards $21.88.

Silver price (XAG/USD) nosedived to near $22.00 on Monday, more than 2.5% down from its previous close. The white metal is heavily dumped by the market participants as trades dialled back expectations of early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The S&P500 is expected to open on a positive note, considering positive cues from the overnight futures. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is also facing pressure despite investors have postponed their expectations of rate cut from Fed to May. 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped further to near 4.09%.

The CME Fedwatch tool indicates that investors are now anticipating an interest rate cut in May as price pressures are still stubborn due to robust households’ spending and upbeat labor market conditions.

This week, market participants will focus on the United States Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will be published on Thursday. An upbeat GDP data would underscore the ‘higher interest rates’ narrative. Fed policymakers have been considering early rate cuts as premature that could dampen all efforts yet don to tame price pressures.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price witnesses an intense sell-off after delivering a breakdown of the horizontal support plotted from December 13 low at $22.51. The asset is expected to find an interim support near November 13 low at $21.88. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near $22.80 continues to act as a barricade for the Silver price bulls.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that a downside momentum has been triggered.

Silver four-hour chart

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Recommended Articles

Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500 A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.

Author Suzie

Sep 14, Mon

A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.

【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve begins The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.

Author Irene Q.

Sep 15, Tue

The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.

Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.

Author Suzie

Yesterday 08: 40

Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.

Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.

Author Irene Q.

10 hours ago

The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.

Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks in The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.

Author Irene Q.

10 hours ago

The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.

Related Instrument