Gold Price Forecast: Recovering Dollar is likely to weigh on XAU/USD – ANZ
Source Fxstreet
Gold (XAU/USD) has risen along with geopolitical risks and expectations of US rate cuts. Strategists at ANZ bank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.
Central bank Gold purchases rose
Heightened geopolitical risks should support haven investment in Gold; but waning market expectations of early rate cuts by the Fed and a rebound in the USD are likely to limit the upside.
Central bank Gold purchases remain strong and likely to reach 1,050t in 2023.
Demand for physical Gold still looks healthy.
See – Gold Price Forecast: The Fed’s explicit pivot will create a constructive outlook for XAU/USD – OCBC
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Gold rose 4.51% to $4,074.90 while Brent fell 16.42% to $98.32 in the same five sessions — two inflation hedges, opposite answers. Around them, the gold-silver ratio sits at 78.7 and copper fell 3.72%. Three regime signals, two of them close to flipping, define what commodity traders must re-price before Tuesday's CPI.
The CPI that has no year-over-year number is the one that decides DecemberOctober CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
October CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
On Tuesday (Nov. 10) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation reading ahead of the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision. Th
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 10, 2026. Read on for the details.
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