WTI extends recovery to $78.50 ahead of global inflation data, OPEC meet
Source Fxstreet
- WTI jumps to $78.50 with a focus on global inflation data.
- The Fed is expected to announce rate cuts in the last quarter of this year.
- Investors will focus on the OPEC meeting to know about any change in the oil supply policy.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, rises further to $78.50 in Monday’s New York session. The Oil price rises even though investors expect that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will consider reducing interest rates from the current levels in the last quarter of this year.
Market speculation for Fed rate cuts has shifted to the last quarter from the September meeting as policymakers want the continuation of current policy framework for a longer period until they get evidence that inflation will sustainably return to the desired rate of 2%. Fed officials emphasize keeping the policy framework restrictive despite the slowdown in price pressures in April suggested by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report of the same month.
Historically, easing Fed rate-cut prospects is an unfavorable situation for the Oil price as higher interest rates reduced flow of liquidity into the economy, which weakens the OIL demand outlook.
This week, investors will focus on the United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure price index (PCE) data for April and the Eurozone preliminary inflation data for May, which will influence speculation for rate cuts by the Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB), respectively, which will be published on Friday.
The ECB is expected to begin cutting key borrowing rates in June, while investors doubt whether policymakers will follow the dovish decision in the July meeting, too.
On the supply front, investors will focus on the OPEC meeting that is scheduled for June 2. Investors will focus on whether oil-rich nations will change the current output cut of 2.2 million barrels for data.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovers above $4,100, hawkish Fed might cap gainsGold price (XAU/USD) recovers some lost ground to near $4,105, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Friday. The precious metal edges higher on the softer US Dollar (USD). Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Monday.
Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers some lost ground to near $4,105, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Friday. The precious metal edges higher on the softer US Dollar (USD). Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Monday.
Bitcoin slides deeper into red as bears lean on $96,600 wall and eye $90,000Bitcoin extends its decline after failing to reclaim $96,500, trading below $95,000, the 100-hour SMA and a bearish trend line near $96,600; unless bulls can force a decisive close back above $96,600–$97,200, the short-term path of least resistance stays lower, with $92,500, $90,000 and the main $88,500 support zone in focus.
Bitcoin extends its decline after failing to reclaim $96,500, trading below $95,000, the 100-hour SMA and a bearish trend line near $96,600; unless bulls can force a decisive close back above $96,600–$97,200, the short-term path of least resistance stays lower, with $92,500, $90,000 and the main $88,500 support zone in focus.
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the decline to around $4,030 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower as traders dialed back expectations of a US interest rate cut next month.
Ethereum is trading near $3,150 and just 8% above a key $2,895 long-term holders’ cost basis, with on-chain flows, macro uncertainty and support around $3,000–$2,800 all shaping what comes next for ETH.
