Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD finds support near $27 as US Dollar edges down ahead of US data

Source Fxstreet
  • Silver price bounces back as US Dollar drops ahead of US Q1 GDP data.
  • Weak S&P Global US preliminary PMI report for April casts doubts over the UK’s economic outlook.
  • The US core PCE inflation data will significantly influence the Fed’s interest rate outlook.

Silver Price (XAG/USD) finds interim support near $27 in Thursday’s European session after facing a sharp sell-off in the past week. The white metal discovers some buying interest as the US Dollar edges down.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) corrects to near 105.60 after the S&P Global United States preliminary PMI for April reported that the inflow of new business fell for the first time in six months, which raised doubts over a strong economic outlook. However, the broader-term outlook of the US Dollar has not faded yet as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers have been emphasizing maintaining the current policy framework for a longer period, considering strong labour demand and stubbornly higher inflation data.

Going forward, the US Dollar will be tested on the grounds of Q1 preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will be published at 12:30 GMT. The US economy is estimated to have expanded by 2.5%, at a slower pace than the 3.5% growth recorded in the last quarter of 2023. A strong US GDP data would improve speculation for a soft landing by the Fed. The soft landing is a situation in which the central bank achieves price stability without triggering a recession.

10-year US Treasury yields trade close to 4.65% exhibiting consolidation ahead of the US core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for March, which will be published on Friday. The underlying inflation data will significantly influence market expectations about when the Fed will start reducing interest rates. Higher bond yields negatively impact the appeal of non-yielding assets, such as Silver, by increasing the cost of holding an investment in it.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price corrects to near March 2022 high near $27.00 after failing to extend upside above the crucial resistance of $30.00. The near-term appeal for Silver remains strong as the 20-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $25.00 is sloping higher.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, suggesting a firm bullish momentum.

Silver weekly chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 27.43
Today Daily Change 0.27
Today Daily Change % 0.99
Today daily open 27.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 27.32
Daily SMA50 25.22
Daily SMA100 24.21
Daily SMA200 23.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 27.49
Previous Daily Low 27.03
Previous Weekly High 29.02
Previous Weekly Low 27.62
Previous Monthly High 25.77
Previous Monthly Low 22.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 27.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 27.31
Daily Pivot Point S1 26.97
Daily Pivot Point S2 26.78
Daily Pivot Point S3 26.52
Daily Pivot Point R1 27.42
Daily Pivot Point R2 27.68
Daily Pivot Point R3 27.87

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Author  Mitrade
10 hours ago
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
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