Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pull-back looks likely without fresh supporting fundamentals in Q2 – ANZ
Source Fxstreet
Gold (XAU/USD) has risen above $2,200. Economists at ANZ Bank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.
The timing and pace of the easing cycle will be crucial
Increasing geopolitical risks come to the fore to favour haven demand.
The market is ignoring expectations around the Fed’s easing of monetary policy and remains more focused on rate cuts occurring in the second half of 2024. We expect cuts to begin in July.
We remain positive on the price, but a pull-back looks likely without fresh supporting fundamentals in Q2. Our year-end price target is still $2,300.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
The USD/JPY pair is seen consolidating in a narrow band around mid-159.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday as traders opt to wait for the crucial Bank of Japan (BoJ) before placing fresh directional bets.
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds steady near $4,600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal steadies as traders await a key Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision later on Wednesday.
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