Gold (XAU/USD) has risen above $2,200. Economists at ANZ Bank analyze the yellow metal’s outlook.
Increasing geopolitical risks come to the fore to favour haven demand.
The market is ignoring expectations around the Fed’s easing of monetary policy and remains more focused on rate cuts occurring in the second half of 2024. We expect cuts to begin in July.
We remain positive on the price, but a pull-back looks likely without fresh supporting fundamentals in Q2. Our year-end price target is still $2,300.