EUR/USD to stay around 1.1000 for the time being – ABN Amro
Source Fxstreet
Economists at ABN Amro expect the EUR/USD pair to hover around the 1.1000 level.
Expectations for Fed/ECB policy to continue to drive the direction in EUR/USD
For this year, we expect expectations for Fed/ECB policy to continue to drive the direction in EUR/USD.
The market expects both the Fed and the ECB to start its easing cycle in April/May and rates to be reduced to 4% for the Fed and 2.5% for the ECB by the end of 2024.
We expect the easing cycles to start later, in June, and the Fed to arrive at 4.25% and the ECB at 2.75% at the end of the year. So, both for the Fed and the ECB we are somewhat less dovish than the market and the difference with the market is roughly the same. Therefore, we expect EUR/USD to stay around 1.1000 for the time being.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Bitcoin Drops Below $83,000 as US Government Transfers Over 10,000 BTC, Sparking Panic Over Potential Selling PressureUS government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
US government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
As of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
Euro slides to a 17-month low as France's budget crisis spreads — can 1.12 hold?EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
Today’s Market Recap: 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2002，U.S. Stocks Fall as Brent Barely Holds $100Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
Related Instrument
