EUR/USD to stay around 1.1000 for the time being – ABN Amro
Source Fxstreet
Economists at ABN Amro expect the EUR/USD pair to hover around the 1.1000 level.
Expectations for Fed/ECB policy to continue to drive the direction in EUR/USD
For this year, we expect expectations for Fed/ECB policy to continue to drive the direction in EUR/USD.
The market expects both the Fed and the ECB to start its easing cycle in April/May and rates to be reduced to 4% for the Fed and 2.5% for the ECB by the end of 2024.
We expect the easing cycles to start later, in June, and the Fed to arrive at 4.25% and the ECB at 2.75% at the end of the year. So, both for the Fed and the ECB we are somewhat less dovish than the market and the difference with the market is roughly the same. Therefore, we expect EUR/USD to stay around 1.1000 for the time being.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookGet a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Get a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Brent holds above $100 as tanker attacks tighten supply — but four forces are capping the rallyBrent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Related Instrument
