EUR/USD to trend lower over the course of the year – Danske Bank

Source Fxstreet

Economists at Danske Bank expect the EUR/USD pair to move downward throughout the rest of the year. 

EUR/USD to reach 1.0500/1.0400 within a 6/12M horizon

We still expect EUR/USD to trend lower over the course of the year. 

Despite the recent positive risk appetite, driven by the global rally in equity markets, which strengthened EUR/USD for most of February, we ultimately view the equity rally as a net positive for the USD, as the catalyst for the rally is centred in the US market, attracting flows to the USD. 

Overall, we believe the US economy is in a stronger position relative to the Euro Area based on factors such as relative terms of trade, real rates, and relative unit labour costs. 

We forecast EUR/USD to reach 1.0500/1.0400 within a 6/12M horizon.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 03, Tue
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 5, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 5, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 05, Thu
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 5, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 6, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 36
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold's $250 week runs into the last payrolls before DecemberSpot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 03
Spot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
placeholder
Micron's $4.5 billion Taiwan fab won't make a chip until 2028 — the market sold it as a 2026 problemMicron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 28
Micron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote