GBP/USD trades on a softer note above the mid-1.2600s, US PCE data eyed

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/USD loses traction near 1.2660 in Thursday’s early Asian session. 
  • US economic growth was slightly weaker than previously forecast in the fourth quarter of 2023. 
  • BoE policymakers said they need more incoming data to consider before lowering interest rates.
  • The US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (Core PCE) will be in the spotlight on Thursday. 

The GBP/USD pair bounces off the multi-day lows near 1.2620 and recovers to 1.2660 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The renewed US Dollar (USD) demand ahead of the key US event weighs on the major pair. Investors await the US January Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) on Thursday for fresh impetus. At press time, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2660, down 0.01% for the day.

The New York Federal Reserve (Fed) President John Williams said on Wednesday that even though there's still some distance to cover in achieving the Fed 2% inflation target, the door is opening to interest rate cuts this year, depending on how the data come in. 

The recent inflation data has caused financial markets to push back the timing of the first rate cut, which provides some support for the Greenback. Nonetheless, the US PCE data due later in the day might offer some hints about the inflation trajectory in the United States. 

On Wednesday, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter grew at a 3.2% annualized rate from 3.3% in the previous reading, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The figure came in weaker than the estimation of a 3.3% expansion for Q4. 

The Bank of England (BoE) policymakers said they need more evidence that inflation will come down to the 2% target before they decide to lower the key lending rates. The BoE expects year-over-year inflation to decline from 4% last month to 2% in the second quarter of this year, but then rise to 3% by the end of 2024 as the disinflationary effect of lower natural gas prices fades.

Looking ahead, traders will keep an eye on the Fed's preferred inflation measure, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index (Core PCE), due on Thursday. Additionally, the UK Nationwide Housing Prices and Consumer Credit will be released later in the day. 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 07, Mon
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
placeholder
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 08, Tue
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Gold slumps to near $4,350 amid oil-driven inflation fears, US inflation data in focusGold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation ‌concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 09, Wed
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation ‌concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
placeholder
Brent holds above $100 as tanker attacks tighten supply — but four forces are capping the rallyBrent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 34
Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
6 hours ago
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote