EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Surges past 163.00 and hits new YTD high

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/JPY climbs, leveraged by JPY's broad decline on Japan's cooling economy and inflation forecasts.
  • Technical momentum suggests a test of the 164.00 level, with potential resistance at November's peak.
  • Initial support at 163.00, with further downside targets including Tenkan-Sen and Senkou Span A levels.

The EUR/JPY advances sharply and regains the 163.00 figure as traders capitalize on the broad Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness. The latest fundamental news from Japan is that its economy is cooling, while inflation is expected to get below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2% goal on its core figures. At the time of writing, the pair exchanged hands at 163.55, up 0.42%.

From a technical perspective, EUR/JPY rose to a new year-to-date (YTD) high at 163.72, though the exchange rate retreated somewhat amid fears that Japanese authorities might intervene in the Forex markets. Given the backdrop, the uptrend remains intact, and the pair could challenge the 164.00 figure in the near term. A breach of that level would expose the November 16 high at 164.31, followed by the 165.00 mark.

On the flip side, the EUR/JPY first support would be the 163.00 figure. If sellers push the spot price below Monday’s low of 162.56, look for a deeper pullback past the Tenkan-Sen at 162.31 as bears eye the Senkou Span A at 161.61 before the Kijun-Sen at 160.90.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
WTI slips below $90.50 as Trump signals no pre-election strike on IranWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after posting nearly 2.5% gains in the previous day, trading around $90.30 per barrel during Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 09, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after posting nearly 2.5% gains in the previous day, trading around $90.30 per barrel during Asian hours on Friday.
placeholder
Hurricane Isaias has shut in a quarter of Gulf oil output — can WTI clear $92 before Thursday's EIA report?WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 09, Fri
WTI trades at $90.80 after rebounding roughly 3% from Wednesday's $87.96 low as Hurricane Isaias — the Atlantic season's first — forces producers to shut in about 25% of US Gulf of Mexico output. Brent holds at $103.41. The first official read on the disruption arrives with the EIA weekly petroleum report on Thursday 15 October — here are the key levels and both scenarios.
placeholder
US September CPI preview: inflation set to hit 3.7% — will the Fed hike in December?US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
Author  Irene Q.
21 hours ago
US September CPI lands Wednesday with headline inflation seen at 3.7% y/y and core at 0.2% m/m. December hike odds sit near 70% — here are the scenarios, the calendar and the key levels.
placeholder
Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
18 hours ago
Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote