USD/JPY Price Forecast: Sinks below 200-day SMA as USD tumbles

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY falls to 152.02, erasing February 12 gains as sellers take control.
  • Bearish RSI signals further downside; key support at 150.93 and 148.64.
  • A recovery above 152.73 could open the door to 153.22 and 154.00.

The USD/JPY extended its losses, dropping below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 152.73 and hitting a three-day low of 152.02. Worse than expected, US Retail Sales data weighed on the American currency, which has fallen to a year-to-date (YTD) low, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). The pair trades at 152.26, below its opening price by 0.36%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The downtrend resumed after the February 12 gains were erased during the last few days as sellers regained control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bearish, an indication that further downside lies ahead. Therefore, the USD/JPY's first support would be the February 7 swing low of 150.93, followed by the December 3 daily low of 148.64.

Conversely, if USD/JPY reclaims the 200-day SMA, the pair could aim for 153.00, followed by the Tenkan-sen at 153.22 and the 154.00 figure.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.29% -0.20% -0.29% -0.10% -0.57% -1.01% -0.37%
EUR 0.29%   0.08% 0.00% 0.18% -0.29% -0.73% -0.08%
GBP 0.20% -0.08%   -0.06% 0.10% -0.37% -0.81% -0.16%
JPY 0.29% 0.00% 0.06%   0.17% -0.30% -0.74% -0.10%
CAD 0.10% -0.18% -0.10% -0.17%   -0.48% -0.91% -0.27%
AUD 0.57% 0.29% 0.37% 0.30% 0.48%   -0.45% 0.20%
NZD 1.01% 0.73% 0.81% 0.74% 0.91% 0.45%   0.65%
CHF 0.37% 0.08% 0.16% 0.10% 0.27% -0.20% -0.65%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Does Gold Falling Below $4,000 Mean the Bull Market Is Over? Will It Still Rise in the Second Half of 2026?Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
Author  TradingKey
6 hours ago
Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
placeholder
WTI Crude Falls Below $70, Easing US-Iran Tensions Erode Risk Premium, Oil Prices May Drop to $60As of the European session on June 29, WTI crude oil ( USOIL) prices fluctuated and weakened near $70.00. From a market perspective, affected by renewed clashes between the US and Iran, o
Author  TradingKey
7 hours ago
As of the European session on June 29, WTI crude oil ( USOIL) prices fluctuated and weakened near $70.00. From a market perspective, affected by renewed clashes between the US and Iran, o
placeholder
Iran insists on control of Hormuz amid reports of US talksIran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that responsibility for the Strait of Hormuz lies solely with Tehran and warned that any attempt to bypass its preferred route in the waterway will cause “tension and escalation,” Aljazeera reported on Monday.
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that responsibility for the Strait of Hormuz lies solely with Tehran and warned that any attempt to bypass its preferred route in the waterway will cause “tension and escalation,” Aljazeera reported on Monday.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PCE Data Weakens Fed Rate Hike Expectations, Can Gold Price Hold Steady at $4,000?As of today's Asian session (June 26), gold ( XAUUSD) prices fluctuated near $4,010. Yesterday, gold rebounded following the release of the PCE data, and market sentiment improved signifi
Author  TradingKey
Jun 26, Fri
As of today's Asian session (June 26), gold ( XAUUSD) prices fluctuated near $4,010. Yesterday, gold rebounded following the release of the PCE data, and market sentiment improved signifi
placeholder
Australian Dollar edges lower to near 0.6900 on Fed hike bets The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.6900 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on the expectation of US rate hikes later this year.
Author  FXStreet
Jun 26, Fri
The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.6900 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on the expectation of US rate hikes later this year.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote