USD/JPY Price Forecast: Sinks below 200-day SMA as USD tumbles

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY falls to 152.02, erasing February 12 gains as sellers take control.
  • Bearish RSI signals further downside; key support at 150.93 and 148.64.
  • A recovery above 152.73 could open the door to 153.22 and 154.00.

The USD/JPY extended its losses, dropping below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 152.73 and hitting a three-day low of 152.02. Worse than expected, US Retail Sales data weighed on the American currency, which has fallen to a year-to-date (YTD) low, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). The pair trades at 152.26, below its opening price by 0.36%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The downtrend resumed after the February 12 gains were erased during the last few days as sellers regained control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bearish, an indication that further downside lies ahead. Therefore, the USD/JPY's first support would be the February 7 swing low of 150.93, followed by the December 3 daily low of 148.64.

Conversely, if USD/JPY reclaims the 200-day SMA, the pair could aim for 153.00, followed by the Tenkan-sen at 153.22 and the 154.00 figure.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.29% -0.20% -0.29% -0.10% -0.57% -1.01% -0.37%
EUR 0.29%   0.08% 0.00% 0.18% -0.29% -0.73% -0.08%
GBP 0.20% -0.08%   -0.06% 0.10% -0.37% -0.81% -0.16%
JPY 0.29% 0.00% 0.06%   0.17% -0.30% -0.74% -0.10%
CAD 0.10% -0.18% -0.10% -0.17%   -0.48% -0.91% -0.27%
AUD 0.57% 0.29% 0.37% 0.30% 0.48%   -0.45% 0.20%
NZD 1.01% 0.73% 0.81% 0.74% 0.91% 0.45%   0.65%
CHF 0.37% 0.08% 0.16% 0.10% 0.27% -0.20% -0.65%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookGet a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Author  Rachel Weiss
Yesterday 11: 37
Get a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
placeholder
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Is the month-long rally over?Bitcoin (BTC) edges slightly lower so far this week, trading at $80,800 on Friday after being rejected around the key overhead supply zone. Institutional investors also show cautious signs, with BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording an outflow of over $709 million through Thursday.
Author  Bitcoinist
Yesterday 10: 46
Bitcoin (BTC) edges slightly lower so far this week, trading at $80,800 on Friday after being rejected around the key overhead supply zone. Institutional investors also show cautious signs, with BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording an outflow of over $709 million through Thursday.
placeholder
Australian Dollar softens to near 0.7200 as Trump and Xi set for second day of talks The AUD/USD pair attracts some sellers to near 0.7205 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. Markets remain cautious ahead of the second day meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 56
The AUD/USD pair attracts some sellers to near 0.7205 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. Markets remain cautious ahead of the second day meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Friday.
placeholder
Gold edges higher to near $4,700 as Trump-Xi summit loomsGold price (XAU/USD) trades in positive territory near $4,700 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as markets turn cautious ahead of the US President Donald Trump-Chinese President Xi Jinping summit in Beijing.
Author  FXStreet
May 14, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades in positive territory near $4,700 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as markets turn cautious ahead of the US President Donald Trump-Chinese President Xi Jinping summit in Beijing.
placeholder
Inflation 'High Fever' Fails to Stop Rally? BTC Temporarily Loses 80,000 Mark, But Arthur Hayes Sees Peak of $126,000CPI data exceeding expectations triggered Bitcoin's drop below $80,000, yet the BitMEX co-founder remains firmly bullish on BTC.On May 13, Bitcoin ( BTC) prices experienced a correction f
Author  TradingKey
May 13, Wed
CPI data exceeding expectations triggered Bitcoin's drop below $80,000, yet the BitMEX co-founder remains firmly bullish on BTC.On May 13, Bitcoin ( BTC) prices experienced a correction f
Related Instrument
goTop
quote