USD/JPY Price Forecast: Sinks below 200-day SMA as USD tumbles

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY falls to 152.02, erasing February 12 gains as sellers take control.
  • Bearish RSI signals further downside; key support at 150.93 and 148.64.
  • A recovery above 152.73 could open the door to 153.22 and 154.00.

The USD/JPY extended its losses, dropping below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 152.73 and hitting a three-day low of 152.02. Worse than expected, US Retail Sales data weighed on the American currency, which has fallen to a year-to-date (YTD) low, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). The pair trades at 152.26, below its opening price by 0.36%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The downtrend resumed after the February 12 gains were erased during the last few days as sellers regained control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bearish, an indication that further downside lies ahead. Therefore, the USD/JPY's first support would be the February 7 swing low of 150.93, followed by the December 3 daily low of 148.64.

Conversely, if USD/JPY reclaims the 200-day SMA, the pair could aim for 153.00, followed by the Tenkan-sen at 153.22 and the 154.00 figure.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.29% -0.20% -0.29% -0.10% -0.57% -1.01% -0.37%
EUR 0.29%   0.08% 0.00% 0.18% -0.29% -0.73% -0.08%
GBP 0.20% -0.08%   -0.06% 0.10% -0.37% -0.81% -0.16%
JPY 0.29% 0.00% 0.06%   0.17% -0.30% -0.74% -0.10%
CAD 0.10% -0.18% -0.10% -0.17%   -0.48% -0.91% -0.27%
AUD 0.57% 0.29% 0.37% 0.30% 0.48%   -0.45% 0.20%
NZD 1.01% 0.73% 0.81% 0.74% 0.91% 0.45%   0.65%
CHF 0.37% 0.08% 0.16% 0.10% 0.27% -0.20% -0.65%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
April NFP Lands at 8:30 AM Today — 65K Forecast, a New Fed Chair, and the Dollar at Triple-Bottom SupportApril 2026 NFP forecast 62K–70K vs March 178K. Unemployment expected 4.3%. Fed on hold at 3.50–3.75% with Kevin Warsh as new chair. DXY triple-bottom at $97.69. Trade setup inside.The Apr
Author  TradingKey
9 hours ago
April 2026 NFP forecast 62K–70K vs March 178K. Unemployment expected 4.3%. Fed on hold at 3.50–3.75% with Kevin Warsh as new chair. DXY triple-bottom at $97.69. Trade setup inside.The Apr
placeholder
WTI falls to near $93.50 after Israel, Iran signal an end to hostilitiesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $93.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
18 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $93.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
placeholder
WTI and Brent Futures Both Fall Below $100 Mark, Have Oil Prices and Energy Sector Peaked?WTI crude oil futures settled at $96.21 per barrel on May 6, plunging 6.3% to close below $100 for the first time in six days, marking the largest single-day decline since March 17. Brent
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 07
WTI crude oil futures settled at $96.21 per barrel on May 6, plunging 6.3% to close below $100 for the first time in six days, marking the largest single-day decline since March 17. Brent
placeholder
Bitcoin jumps to three-month high as US–Iran talks unwind oil risk premiumGlobal markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
Author  Cryptopolitan
Yesterday 06: 34
Global markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
placeholder
WTI Crude Falls Over 13% Below $90. US and Iran to Reach Truce Memorandum but Crude Supply Difficult to Recover in Short TermBefore the market opened on May 5, international crude oil losses widened, WTI crude oil futures plummeted below $90 at one point, hitting a low of $88.71, the first time since April 21,
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 06: 16
Before the market opened on May 5, international crude oil losses widened, WTI crude oil futures plummeted below $90 at one point, hitting a low of $88.71, the first time since April 21,
Related Instrument
goTop
quote