USD/JPY Price Forecast: Sinks below 200-day SMA as USD tumbles

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY falls to 152.02, erasing February 12 gains as sellers take control.
  • Bearish RSI signals further downside; key support at 150.93 and 148.64.
  • A recovery above 152.73 could open the door to 153.22 and 154.00.

The USD/JPY extended its losses, dropping below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 152.73 and hitting a three-day low of 152.02. Worse than expected, US Retail Sales data weighed on the American currency, which has fallen to a year-to-date (YTD) low, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). The pair trades at 152.26, below its opening price by 0.36%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The downtrend resumed after the February 12 gains were erased during the last few days as sellers regained control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bearish, an indication that further downside lies ahead. Therefore, the USD/JPY's first support would be the February 7 swing low of 150.93, followed by the December 3 daily low of 148.64.

Conversely, if USD/JPY reclaims the 200-day SMA, the pair could aim for 153.00, followed by the Tenkan-sen at 153.22 and the 154.00 figure.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.29% -0.20% -0.29% -0.10% -0.57% -1.01% -0.37%
EUR 0.29%   0.08% 0.00% 0.18% -0.29% -0.73% -0.08%
GBP 0.20% -0.08%   -0.06% 0.10% -0.37% -0.81% -0.16%
JPY 0.29% 0.00% 0.06%   0.17% -0.30% -0.74% -0.10%
CAD 0.10% -0.18% -0.10% -0.17%   -0.48% -0.91% -0.27%
AUD 0.57% 0.29% 0.37% 0.30% 0.48%   -0.45% 0.20%
NZD 1.01% 0.73% 0.81% 0.74% 0.91% 0.45%   0.65%
CHF 0.37% 0.08% 0.16% 0.10% 0.27% -0.20% -0.65%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple — BTC, ETH and XRP defend key support as rebound scenario stays in playBTC holds above $90,000, ETH hovers near $3,128 at the 50-day EMA, and XRP steadies above $2.07 as traders weigh rebound targets and key downside levels.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 09, Fri
BTC holds above $90,000, ETH hovers near $3,128 at the 50-day EMA, and XRP steadies above $2.07 as traders weigh rebound targets and key downside levels.
placeholder
Solana Future: From high-speed experiment to corporate treasury playbook for the next SOL cycleSolana’s Proof of History architecture is colliding with rising institutional treasury adoption and governance scrutiny, with SOL’s next cycle hinging on validator distribution, stability, and regulated capital access.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 12, Mon
Solana’s Proof of History architecture is colliding with rising institutional treasury adoption and governance scrutiny, with SOL’s next cycle hinging on validator distribution, stability, and regulated capital access.
placeholder
Gold Price Forectast: XAU/USD rises above $4,600 on US rate cut expectations, Fed uncertainty Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to around $4,600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as traders firm up bets on US interest rate cuts after the release of inflation data.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 45
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to around $4,600 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as traders firm up bets on US interest rate cuts after the release of inflation data.
placeholder
US Dollar Index steadies above 99.00 ahead of Retail Sales, PPI dataThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is inching lower after registering modest gains in the previous session. The DXY hovers around 99.10 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
17 hours ago
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is inching lower after registering modest gains in the previous session. The DXY hovers around 99.10 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote