USD/JPY Price Forecast: Sinks below 200-day SMA as USD tumbles

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY falls to 152.02, erasing February 12 gains as sellers take control.
  • Bearish RSI signals further downside; key support at 150.93 and 148.64.
  • A recovery above 152.73 could open the door to 153.22 and 154.00.

The USD/JPY extended its losses, dropping below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 152.73 and hitting a three-day low of 152.02. Worse than expected, US Retail Sales data weighed on the American currency, which has fallen to a year-to-date (YTD) low, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). The pair trades at 152.26, below its opening price by 0.36%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The downtrend resumed after the February 12 gains were erased during the last few days as sellers regained control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bearish, an indication that further downside lies ahead. Therefore, the USD/JPY's first support would be the February 7 swing low of 150.93, followed by the December 3 daily low of 148.64.

Conversely, if USD/JPY reclaims the 200-day SMA, the pair could aim for 153.00, followed by the Tenkan-sen at 153.22 and the 154.00 figure.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.29% -0.20% -0.29% -0.10% -0.57% -1.01% -0.37%
EUR 0.29%   0.08% 0.00% 0.18% -0.29% -0.73% -0.08%
GBP 0.20% -0.08%   -0.06% 0.10% -0.37% -0.81% -0.16%
JPY 0.29% 0.00% 0.06%   0.17% -0.30% -0.74% -0.10%
CAD 0.10% -0.18% -0.10% -0.17%   -0.48% -0.91% -0.27%
AUD 0.57% 0.29% 0.37% 0.30% 0.48%   -0.45% 0.20%
NZD 1.01% 0.73% 0.81% 0.74% 0.91% 0.45%   0.65%
CHF 0.37% 0.08% 0.16% 0.10% 0.27% -0.20% -0.65%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
USD/JPY trades cautiously positive around 144.00 ahead of key US dataThe USD/JPY pair edges higher to near 143.90 during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair trades cautiously higher as the US Dollar (USD) ticks up ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for June, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
Author  FXStreet
Jul 03, 2025
The USD/JPY pair edges higher to near 143.90 during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair trades cautiously higher as the US Dollar (USD) ticks up ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for June, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
placeholder
Gold edges higher as Fed rate cut bets undermine USD ahead of NFP dataGold (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Friday and looks to build on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of the $3,500 psychological mark.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 05, 2025
Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Friday and looks to build on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of the $3,500 psychological mark.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD dips to near $72.50 as CME raises marginsSilver price (XAG/USD) has lost its nearly a 4.5% gain registered in the previous session, trading around $72.50 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 31, 2025
Silver price (XAG/USD) has lost its nearly a 4.5% gain registered in the previous session, trading around $72.50 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
placeholder
Japanese Yen sinks to fresh low since 1986 vs USD amid persistently wide US-Japan rate gapThe USD/JPY pair builds on the previous day's breakout momentum and continues to scale new multi-decade highs through the Asian session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 47
The USD/JPY pair builds on the previous day's breakout momentum and continues to scale new multi-decade highs through the Asian session on Wednesday.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote