USD/MXN: Opportunity to target 16.40 in six to nine months – SocGen
Source Fxstreet
The Mexican Peso (MXN) is down about 1.3% vs. the US Dollar (USD) – spot basis and flat year-to-date on total basis – so far in 2024. Strategists at Société Générale analyze MXN outlook.
Banxico to launch easing cycle in March
Our EM strategists remain optimistic on the Peso and continue to favour buying MXN dips.
We expect the central bank to implement gradual easing, starting with a 25 bps cut in March and then a cumulative -250 bps to 8.45% by end-2024 against implied pricing of around 9.50%.
We see an opportunity target 16.40 in six to nine months thanks to structural domestic tailwinds of nearshoring and high remittances, and high carry-to-vol. The caveat is US tariffs and an overshoot of US bond yields.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
WTI (USOIL) is down 2.13% at Sep 22 05:55(ET), now at $89.999, with a 7-day down of 12.84%.What is driving WTI (USOIL)’s stock price down today?The retreat in US crude oil benchmark prices was primari
Bitcoin Surges to Briefly Break $87,000; Where Is the Next Key Resistance Level?On September 22, Bitcoin (BTC) strongly broke through the past month's resistance level of $82,000, surging
Bitcoin holds above $86,000 as four of five majors hit 3-month highs — why XRP is the odd one outBitcoin broke above $86,000 for the first time since late January and four of the five largest cryptocurrencies hit three-month highs — but XRP, despite leading the 24-hour gains, is the only one that failed to confirm. Roughly $900 million of leveraged positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts making up 86-90% of the total.
Bitcoin broke above $86,000 for the first time since late January and four of the five largest cryptocurrencies hit three-month highs — but XRP, despite leading the 24-hour gains, is the only one that failed to confirm. Roughly $900 million of leveraged positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts making up 86-90% of the total.
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Bitcoin (BTC) market conditions improved over the past week as spot buying pressure strengthened and derivatives positioning increased, pushing the top crypto near $86,000.
Related Instrument
