USD/MXN: Opportunity to target 16.40 in six to nine months – SocGen
Source Fxstreet
The Mexican Peso (MXN) is down about 1.3% vs. the US Dollar (USD) – spot basis and flat year-to-date on total basis – so far in 2024. Strategists at Société Générale analyze MXN outlook.
Banxico to launch easing cycle in March
Our EM strategists remain optimistic on the Peso and continue to favour buying MXN dips.
We expect the central bank to implement gradual easing, starting with a 25 bps cut in March and then a cumulative -250 bps to 8.45% by end-2024 against implied pricing of around 9.50%.
We see an opportunity target 16.40 in six to nine months thanks to structural domestic tailwinds of nearshoring and high remittances, and high carry-to-vol. The caveat is US tariffs and an overshoot of US bond yields.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
The conflict in the Middle East escalated further over the weekend. Optimistic signals released by Trump were refuted by the Iranian side. According to Reuters, the U.S. military seized a
Over the weekend, the U.S. and Iran engaged in a new round of maneuvering over the situation in the Middle East, leading to a rapid escalation in geopolitical risks. As a result, internat
Gold price (XAU/USD) slumps to around $4,775 during the early Asian session on Monday. Traders digest renewed tensions between the United States (US) and Iran over the critical Strait of Hormuz.
Here is what you need to know on Friday, April 17:
WTI drifts higher to near $89.00 amid Lebanon-Israel ceasefire strains West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $89.00 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI price edges higher after reports that Lebanon's army accuses Israel of violating the ceasefire.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $89.00 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI price edges higher after reports that Lebanon's army accuses Israel of violating the ceasefire.
Related Instrument
