USD/MXN: Opportunity to target 16.40 in six to nine months – SocGen
Source Fxstreet
The Mexican Peso (MXN) is down about 1.3% vs. the US Dollar (USD) – spot basis and flat year-to-date on total basis – so far in 2024. Strategists at Société Générale analyze MXN outlook.
Banxico to launch easing cycle in March
Our EM strategists remain optimistic on the Peso and continue to favour buying MXN dips.
We expect the central bank to implement gradual easing, starting with a 25 bps cut in March and then a cumulative -250 bps to 8.45% by end-2024 against implied pricing of around 9.50%.
We see an opportunity target 16.40 in six to nine months thanks to structural domestic tailwinds of nearshoring and high remittances, and high carry-to-vol. The caveat is US tariffs and an overshoot of US bond yields.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Here is what you need to know on Monday, May 25:
Silver price (XAG/USD) rises nearly 4% after registering losses in the previous day, trading around $78.50 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday.
Gold (XAU/USD) trades lower for the second consecutive day on Friday, but remains contained within previous ranges, with downside attempts limited above the $4,500 line for now.
The US President Donald Trump administration said that Trump will swear in Kevin Warsh as the chair of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on Friday at the White House, Reuters reported on Thursday.
Nvidia Q1 Revenue Surges 85%, Data Center Business Accounts for 90%, Blowout Results Fail to Stop Stock VolatilityAs the absolute leader in the global AI industry chain, NVIDIA ( NVDA) delivered a quarterly earnings report that surpassed Wall Street's general expectations as anticipated.After the mar
As the absolute leader in the global AI industry chain, NVIDIA ( NVDA) delivered a quarterly earnings report that surpassed Wall Street's general expectations as anticipated.After the mar
Related Instrument
