EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Edges lower to near 162.50; initial support appears at 14-day EMA

Source Fxstreet
  • The EUR/JPY cross may regain its ground the daily chart analysis suggests a prevailing bullish bias.
  • The bullish bias strengthens as the 14-day RSI remains slightly above the 50 mark.
  • The primary support appears at the 14-day EMA at 162.53, followed by the psychological level at 162.50.

EUR/JPY trades slightly lower, hovering around 162.60 during Wednesday’s Asian trading session, following a 1% gain in the previous session. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the currency cross remains within an ascending channel pattern, reflecting a continued bullish trend.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits just above the 50 mark, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the EUR/JPY cross. Moreover, the currency cross's position above the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) highlights improved short-term price momentum and supports the potential for further gains.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross may find its primary resistance around its two-month low at the 164.90 level. A break above this level could improve the bullish bias and support the currency cross to approach the upper boundary of the ascending channel at the psychological level of 166.50, followed by a six-month high of 166.69, a level last seen in October 2024.

In terms of support, the EUR/JPY cross may find primary support at the 14-day EMA at 162.53, aligned with the nine-day EMA at 162.51 and psychological level of 162.50. A break below this crucial support zone would weaken the short-term price momentum and put pressure on the currency cross to navigate the region around the ascending channel’s lower boundary around the psychological level of 160.50, followed by a four-month low of 156.18, recorded on December 3.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.04% 0.04% -0.03% -0.04% -0.05% -0.12% -0.03%
EUR -0.04%   0.00% -0.08% -0.09% -0.10% -0.16% -0.07%
GBP -0.04% -0.00%   -0.10% -0.08% -0.10% -0.17% -0.05%
JPY 0.03% 0.08% 0.10%   -0.01% -0.02% -0.09% 0.02%
CAD 0.04% 0.09% 0.08% 0.00%   -0.02% -0.09% 0.03%
AUD 0.05% 0.10% 0.10% 0.02% 0.02%   -0.06% 0.05%
NZD 0.12% 0.16% 0.17% 0.09% 0.09% 0.06%   0.10%
CHF 0.03% 0.07% 0.05% -0.02% -0.03% -0.05% -0.10%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 07, Mon
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
placeholder
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 08, Tue
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Gold slumps to near $4,350 amid oil-driven inflation fears, US inflation data in focusGold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation ‌concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 09, Wed
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation ‌concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
placeholder
Brent holds above $100 as tanker attacks tighten supply — but four forces are capping the rallyBrent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 34
Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
5 hours ago
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote