EUR/USD Price Forecast: Hovers near 1.0500 post-ECB’s rate cut

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD remains tethered to the 1.0500 mark, rebounding slightly to 1.0498 after testing weekly lows.
  • Technical analysis shows the pair is in a delicate balance, with potential to challenge resistance if it sustains above 1.0500.
  • Key resistances are set at 1.0530 and 1.0600, while supports loom near 1.0452 and the YTD low of 1.0331.

The EUR/USD remains reluctant to remain far from the 1.0500 figure for the fifth consecutive day, even though the ECB decided to cut rates on Thursday, which pushed the pair toward its weekly low of 1.0452. Nevertheless, buyers stepped in and lifted the exchange rate toward the current level of 1.0498.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/USD daily chart suggests the pair hovers near 1.0500, unable to edge lower decisively and retest year-to-date (YTD) low figures at 1.0331. Even though the pair is carving successive series of lower and lower highs, it might be difficult to extend its downtrend.

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggests that buyers gain steam. If they achieve a daily close above 1.0500, this can give them a leg-up.

In that outcome, EUR/USD’s key resistance levels lie at the December 12 high of 1.0530, followed by 1.0600 and last week's peak of 1.0629.

On the other hand, if EUR/USD remains below 1.0500, the major could extend its losses, past 1.0452. A breach of the latter will expose the November 26 low of 1.0424, followed by the November 22 swing low of 1.0331.

EUR/USD Price Chart – Daily

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.28% 0.41% 0.68% 0.02% 0.11% 0.13% 0.05%
EUR 0.28%   0.69% 0.97% 0.30% 0.40% 0.41% 0.33%
GBP -0.41% -0.69%   0.27% -0.38% -0.30% -0.28% -0.36%
JPY -0.68% -0.97% -0.27%   -0.64% -0.57% -0.55% -0.62%
CAD -0.02% -0.30% 0.38% 0.64%   0.08% 0.11% 0.03%
AUD -0.11% -0.40% 0.30% 0.57% -0.08%   0.02% -0.06%
NZD -0.13% -0.41% 0.28% 0.55% -0.11% -0.02%   -0.08%
CHF -0.05% -0.33% 0.36% 0.62% -0.03% 0.06% 0.08%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US-Iran Talks Hit Nonfarm Payrolls Bombshell: Bitcoin Bull-Bear Battle Set to End $60,000 Deadlock?As US-Iran talks and non-farm payrolls approach, Bitcoin's range-bound trend is set to break, with a potential drop to $50,000.On June 30, Bitcoin ( BTC) remained volatile near $60,000, u
Author  TradingKey
8 hours ago
As US-Iran talks and non-farm payrolls approach, Bitcoin's range-bound trend is set to break, with a potential drop to $50,000.On June 30, Bitcoin ( BTC) remained volatile near $60,000, u
placeholder
June Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: Did White House Economic Advisor Give an Early Hint? How Will US Stocks, Dollar and Gold React? As June draws to a close, market attention is shifting to the upcoming U.S. June nonfarm payrolls report to be released this Thursday (July 2). This month's nonfarm payrolls data has been
Author  TradingKey
8 hours ago
As June draws to a close, market attention is shifting to the upcoming U.S. June nonfarm payrolls report to be released this Thursday (July 2). This month's nonfarm payrolls data has been
placeholder
Japan’s Kihara: Always ready to take necessary action on forexJapan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara reiterated during a regularly scheduled press conference this Tuesday that officials he is always ready to take necessary action on forex. Kihara, however, refrained from commenting on specific forex level.
Author  FXStreet
14 hours ago
Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara reiterated during a regularly scheduled press conference this Tuesday that officials he is always ready to take necessary action on forex. Kihara, however, refrained from commenting on specific forex level.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Does Gold Falling Below $4,000 Mean the Bull Market Is Over? Will It Still Rise in the Second Half of 2026?Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 04
Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
placeholder
WTI Crude Falls Below $70, Easing US-Iran Tensions Erode Risk Premium, Oil Prices May Drop to $60As of the European session on June 29, WTI crude oil ( USOIL) prices fluctuated and weakened near $70.00. From a market perspective, affected by renewed clashes between the US and Iran, o
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 00
As of the European session on June 29, WTI crude oil ( USOIL) prices fluctuated and weakened near $70.00. From a market perspective, affected by renewed clashes between the US and Iran, o
Related Instrument
goTop
quote