GBP/USD: Major support at 1.2665 can be out of reach for now – UOB Group

Weakness in GBP has not stabilised, but the major support at 1.2665 could still be out of reach for now. In the longer run, downward momentum has surged; the next technical target is at 1.2665, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

The next technical target is at 1.2665

24-HOUR VIEW: “After GBP plummeted to 1.2719 on Tuesday, we indicated yesterday (Wednesday) that GBP ‘is expected to continue to decline, but it remains to be seen if the major support at 1.2665 is within reach today.’ Our view was not wrong, as GBP dropped to 1.2687 before recovering slightly to close at 1.2709 (-0.29%). Although the weakness has not stabilised, downward momentum has slowed a tad. This, combined with oversold conditions suggests 1.2665 may still be out of reach for now. Resistance is at 1.2735; a breach of 1.2765 would indicate that the weakness has stabilised.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Two days ago (12 Nov, spot at 1.2870), we highlighted that the ‘Slight buildup in momentum indicates GBP is likely to edge lower, but 1.2800 is expected to provide significant support.’ Following GBP sharp plunge below 1.2800, we indicated yesterday (13 Nov, spot at 1.2735) that ‘The next technical target is at 1.2665.’ We pointed out, ‘We will continue to expect GBP to weaken as long as 1.2845 (‘strong resistance’ level) is not breached.’ There is no change in our view, but the ‘strong resistance’ level has moved lower to 1.2820 from 1.2845. Looking ahead, if GBP breaks below 1.2665, the next level to watch is 1.2615.”