USD/CAD Price Forecast: Rises to near 1.3800, upper boundary of ascending channel

Source Fxstreet
  • The USD/CAD pair may test the upper boundary of the ascending channel at the 1.3840 level.
  • The 14-day RSI indicates an overbought situation, suggesting a potential downward correction could occur soon.
  • The potential support appears at the lower boundary of the ascending channel around the 1.3740 level.

USD/CAD continues its winning streak that began October 2, hovering around 1.3790 during the European trading hours on Monday. The daily chart analysis shows that the pair is moving upwards within the ascending channel, suggesting the strengthening of a bullish bias.

However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned above the 70 level, indicating an overbought situation for the pair and potential downward correction any time soon.

Regarding the upside, the USD/CAD pair could explore the region around the upper boundary of the ascending channel at the 1.3840 level. A break above this level could strengthen the bullish sentiment and support the pair to approach 1.3946, the highest level since October 2022.

On the downside, the USD/CAD may find support at the lower boundary of the ascending channel around the 1.3740 level. A breach below the ascending channel could weaken the bullish sentiment and lead the pair to navigate the area around its nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3680 level.

Further support appears at the “pullback resistance turns into throwback support” around the 1.3620 level, followed by the psychological level of 1.3600.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the weakest against the British Pound.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.11% 0.02% 0.22% 0.11% 0.33% 0.30% 0.37%
EUR -0.11%   -0.16% 0.00% 0.08% 0.24% 0.10% 0.17%
GBP -0.02% 0.16%   0.16% 0.12% 0.43% 0.29% 0.31%
JPY -0.22% 0.00% -0.16%   -0.10% 0.14% 0.14% 0.15%
CAD -0.11% -0.08% -0.12% 0.10%   0.17% 0.22% 0.09%
AUD -0.33% -0.24% -0.43% -0.14% -0.17%   -0.01% 0.00%
NZD -0.30% -0.10% -0.29% -0.14% -0.22% 0.01%   0.00%
CHF -0.37% -0.17% -0.31% -0.15% -0.09% -0.01% -0.01%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 15, Tue
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
placeholder
Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 08: 40
Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
9 hours ago
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
10 hours ago
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote