EUR/GBP flat lines above mid-0.8300s, remains confined in a multi-day-old range

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP struggles for a firm near-term direction as traders keenly await the ECB on Thursday. 
  • The ECB is expected to lower interest rates again amid easing inflation and economic slowdown.
  • Bets for an aggressive BoE policy easing undermine the GBP and act as a headwind for the cross. 

The EUR/GBP cross extends its sideways consolidative price move through the first half of the European session on Monday and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.8365 region, nearly unchanged for the day as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk later this week. 

The European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its policy decision on Thursday and is expected to cut interest rates again for the third time this easing cycle amid mounting concerns over sluggish growth. Furthermore, inflation in the Eurozone fell below the ECB's 2% target for the first time since 2021 and backs the case for further policy easing. This, in turn, undermines the shared currency and turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/GBP cross. 

Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey recently hinted that the central bank could cut interest rates more aggressively if there's further good news on inflation. The comments fueled speculation that the BoE might be headed towards speeding up its rate-cutting cycle and hold back traders from placing bullish bets around the British Pound (GBP). This, to a larger extent, offsets the negative factor and offers some support to the EUR/GBP cross.

The aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop supports prospects for an extension of the subdued range price action in the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases, either from the Eurozone or the UK. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained move in either direction before positioning for a firm near-term trajectory.

Economic Indicator

ECB Rate On Deposit Facility

One of the European Central Bank's three key interest rates, the rate on the deposit facility, is the rate at which banks earn interest when they deposit funds with the ECB. It is announced by the European Central Bank at each of its eight scheduled annual meetings.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Oct 17, 2024 12:15

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 3.25%

Previous: 3.5%

Source: European Central Bank

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Does Gold Falling Below $4,000 Mean the Bull Market Is Over? Will It Still Rise in the Second Half of 2026?Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
Heading into the second half of 2026, the gold market has transitioned from a strong-performing asset at the start of the year into one pulling back from its highs. Recently, gold prices
placeholder
WTI Crude Falls Below $70, Easing US-Iran Tensions Erode Risk Premium, Oil Prices May Drop to $60As of the European session on June 29, WTI crude oil ( USOIL) prices fluctuated and weakened near $70.00. From a market perspective, affected by renewed clashes between the US and Iran, o
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
As of the European session on June 29, WTI crude oil ( USOIL) prices fluctuated and weakened near $70.00. From a market perspective, affected by renewed clashes between the US and Iran, o
placeholder
Iran insists on control of Hormuz amid reports of US talksIran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that responsibility for the Strait of Hormuz lies solely with Tehran and warned that any attempt to bypass its preferred route in the waterway will cause “tension and escalation,” Aljazeera reported on Monday.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that responsibility for the Strait of Hormuz lies solely with Tehran and warned that any attempt to bypass its preferred route in the waterway will cause “tension and escalation,” Aljazeera reported on Monday.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PCE Data Weakens Fed Rate Hike Expectations, Can Gold Price Hold Steady at $4,000?As of today's Asian session (June 26), gold ( XAUUSD) prices fluctuated near $4,010. Yesterday, gold rebounded following the release of the PCE data, and market sentiment improved signifi
Author  TradingKey
Jun 26, Fri
As of today's Asian session (June 26), gold ( XAUUSD) prices fluctuated near $4,010. Yesterday, gold rebounded following the release of the PCE data, and market sentiment improved signifi
placeholder
Australian Dollar edges lower to near 0.6900 on Fed hike bets The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.6900 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on the expectation of US rate hikes later this year.
Author  FXStreet
Jun 26, Fri
The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.6900 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on the expectation of US rate hikes later this year.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote