EUR/GBP flat lines above mid-0.8300s, remains confined in a multi-day-old range

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP struggles for a firm near-term direction as traders keenly await the ECB on Thursday. 
  • The ECB is expected to lower interest rates again amid easing inflation and economic slowdown.
  • Bets for an aggressive BoE policy easing undermine the GBP and act as a headwind for the cross. 

The EUR/GBP cross extends its sideways consolidative price move through the first half of the European session on Monday and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.8365 region, nearly unchanged for the day as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk later this week. 

The European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its policy decision on Thursday and is expected to cut interest rates again for the third time this easing cycle amid mounting concerns over sluggish growth. Furthermore, inflation in the Eurozone fell below the ECB's 2% target for the first time since 2021 and backs the case for further policy easing. This, in turn, undermines the shared currency and turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/GBP cross. 

Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey recently hinted that the central bank could cut interest rates more aggressively if there's further good news on inflation. The comments fueled speculation that the BoE might be headed towards speeding up its rate-cutting cycle and hold back traders from placing bullish bets around the British Pound (GBP). This, to a larger extent, offsets the negative factor and offers some support to the EUR/GBP cross.

The aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop supports prospects for an extension of the subdued range price action in the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases, either from the Eurozone or the UK. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained move in either direction before positioning for a firm near-term trajectory.

Economic Indicator

ECB Rate On Deposit Facility

One of the European Central Bank's three key interest rates, the rate on the deposit facility, is the rate at which banks earn interest when they deposit funds with the ECB. It is announced by the European Central Bank at each of its eight scheduled annual meetings.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Oct 17, 2024 12:15

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 3.25%

Previous: 3.5%

Source: European Central Bank

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
WTI Crude Oil Price Forecast: Could Oil Return Above $100 as US-Iran Conflict Escalates Further?As of the Asian session on September 8, WTI crude oil prices (USOIL) continued to fluctuate at high levels, with the latest price trading higher near $92.30, up 1.2% on the day after touc
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
As of the Asian session on September 8, WTI crude oil prices (USOIL) continued to fluctuate at high levels, with the latest price trading higher near $92.30, up 1.2% on the day after touc
placeholder
AUD/USD climbs for a fourth day to 0.7218 as Fed-hike bets fail to lift the dollar; RBA speakers and US CPI now in focusThe Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
Author  Irene Q.
14 hours ago
The Australian dollar has risen for four straight sessions toward 0.72 even after August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations and pushed September Fed-hike odds to 58.4%. A thin, holiday-thinned dollar is the short-term driver; Westpac confidence and RBA speakers today, US PPI/CPI this week and the Sept 15-16 FOMC will decide whether the rally holds.
placeholder
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Escalating US-Iran Tanker Attacks and Strait of Hormuz Risks Push Brent to $120? International oil prices continued to climb on Monday, extending their strong performance from the previous week.As military confrontations between the U.S. and Iran heat up again in and
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 35
International oil prices continued to climb on Monday, extending their strong performance from the previous week.As military confrontations between the U.S. and Iran heat up again in and
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 42
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote