EUR/GBP flat lines above mid-0.8300s, remains confined in a multi-day-old range

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP struggles for a firm near-term direction as traders keenly await the ECB on Thursday. 
  • The ECB is expected to lower interest rates again amid easing inflation and economic slowdown.
  • Bets for an aggressive BoE policy easing undermine the GBP and act as a headwind for the cross. 

The EUR/GBP cross extends its sideways consolidative price move through the first half of the European session on Monday and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.8365 region, nearly unchanged for the day as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk later this week. 

The European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its policy decision on Thursday and is expected to cut interest rates again for the third time this easing cycle amid mounting concerns over sluggish growth. Furthermore, inflation in the Eurozone fell below the ECB's 2% target for the first time since 2021 and backs the case for further policy easing. This, in turn, undermines the shared currency and turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/GBP cross. 

Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey recently hinted that the central bank could cut interest rates more aggressively if there's further good news on inflation. The comments fueled speculation that the BoE might be headed towards speeding up its rate-cutting cycle and hold back traders from placing bullish bets around the British Pound (GBP). This, to a larger extent, offsets the negative factor and offers some support to the EUR/GBP cross.

The aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop supports prospects for an extension of the subdued range price action in the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases, either from the Eurozone or the UK. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained move in either direction before positioning for a firm near-term trajectory.

Economic Indicator

ECB Rate On Deposit Facility

One of the European Central Bank's three key interest rates, the rate on the deposit facility, is the rate at which banks earn interest when they deposit funds with the ECB. It is announced by the European Central Bank at each of its eight scheduled annual meetings.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Oct 17, 2024 12:15

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 3.25%

Previous: 3.5%

Source: European Central Bank

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Forex Today: Japanese Yen rallies on reported intervention, US-Iran tensions remain highHere is what you need to know on Friday, May 1:
Author  FXStreet
12 hours ago
Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 1:
placeholder
AUD/USD jumps near 0.7200 as Japan’s intervention sinks the USDThe Australian Dollar reclaimed the 0.7200 level on Thursday, surging more than 1% as the Greenback dropped to seven-day lows amid Japanese authorities’ intervention in the FX markets, pushing aside solid US economic data. The AUD/USD trades past 0.7200 after hitting a daily low of 0.7110.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
The Australian Dollar reclaimed the 0.7200 level on Thursday, surging more than 1% as the Greenback dropped to seven-day lows amid Japanese authorities’ intervention in the FX markets, pushing aside solid US economic data. The AUD/USD trades past 0.7200 after hitting a daily low of 0.7110.
placeholder
Bitcoin Briefly Falls Below $76,000: Will Powell Staying on Board Curb Rally? Fed maintains interest rates, Bitcoin price falls below $76,000 as Powell's stay may hinder rebound.On April 30 (GMT+8), Bitcoin ( BTC) narrowed its losses and returned above $76,000, cur
Author  TradingKey
Apr 30, Thu
Fed maintains interest rates, Bitcoin price falls below $76,000 as Powell's stay may hinder rebound.On April 30 (GMT+8), Bitcoin ( BTC) narrowed its losses and returned above $76,000, cur
placeholder
Brent Oil Breaks Through $120 Mark, Strait of Hormuz Deadlock Continues to Ferment, How Will Trump’s Choice Sway Oil Price Direction?Hopes for a resolution to the U.S.-Iran deadlock are fading, and the oil price rally continued during the Asian session. On Thursday, dampened by pessimistic news regarding peace talks, B
Author  TradingKey
Apr 30, Thu
Hopes for a resolution to the U.S.-Iran deadlock are fading, and the oil price rally continued during the Asian session. On Thursday, dampened by pessimistic news regarding peace talks, B
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: Fed Dissent and AI Capex Surges Define Volatile Earnings Week The S&P 500 edged down 0.04% to 7,135.95, while the Nasdaq Composite gained a modest 0.04% to reach 24,673.24. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0
Author  TradingKey
Apr 30, Thu
The S&P 500 edged down 0.04% to 7,135.95, while the Nasdaq Composite gained a modest 0.04% to reach 24,673.24. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0
Related Instrument
goTop
quote