EUR/GBP flat lines above mid-0.8300s, remains confined in a multi-day-old range

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP struggles for a firm near-term direction as traders keenly await the ECB on Thursday. 
  • The ECB is expected to lower interest rates again amid easing inflation and economic slowdown.
  • Bets for an aggressive BoE policy easing undermine the GBP and act as a headwind for the cross. 

The EUR/GBP cross extends its sideways consolidative price move through the first half of the European session on Monday and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.8365 region, nearly unchanged for the day as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk later this week. 

The European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its policy decision on Thursday and is expected to cut interest rates again for the third time this easing cycle amid mounting concerns over sluggish growth. Furthermore, inflation in the Eurozone fell below the ECB's 2% target for the first time since 2021 and backs the case for further policy easing. This, in turn, undermines the shared currency and turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/GBP cross. 

Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey recently hinted that the central bank could cut interest rates more aggressively if there's further good news on inflation. The comments fueled speculation that the BoE might be headed towards speeding up its rate-cutting cycle and hold back traders from placing bullish bets around the British Pound (GBP). This, to a larger extent, offsets the negative factor and offers some support to the EUR/GBP cross.

The aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop supports prospects for an extension of the subdued range price action in the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases, either from the Eurozone or the UK. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained move in either direction before positioning for a firm near-term trajectory.

Economic Indicator

ECB Rate On Deposit Facility

One of the European Central Bank's three key interest rates, the rate on the deposit facility, is the rate at which banks earn interest when they deposit funds with the ECB. It is announced by the European Central Bank at each of its eight scheduled annual meetings.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Oct 17, 2024 12:15

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 3.25%

Previous: 3.5%

Source: European Central Bank

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Nvidia 2026 Shareholder Meeting Preview: Can Stock Price Hit New Highs? How Blackwell, Vera Production Ramps Will Determine Future Revenue?This Wednesday (June 24), NVIDIA (NVDA) will hold its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders online. The focus of this meeting will be the production ramp-up of Blackwell and the brand-new V
Author  TradingKey
7 hours ago
This Wednesday (June 24), NVIDIA (NVDA) will hold its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders online. The focus of this meeting will be the production ramp-up of Blackwell and the brand-new V
placeholder
Morgan Stanley’s Latest Assessment: Three Variables for Gold’s Rise to $5,200 — Hawkish Fed, ETF Flows, and Middle East TurmoilMorgan Stanley ( MS )'s latest precious metals research report shows that while continuous gold purchases by global central banks have provided a solid floor of support, gold ( XAUUSD )'s
Author  TradingKey
8 hours ago
Morgan Stanley ( MS )'s latest precious metals research report shows that while continuous gold purchases by global central banks have provided a solid floor of support, gold ( XAUUSD )'s
placeholder
Qatar and Pakistan: High-level committee agrees on roadmap to final deal within 60 daysThe US-Iran peace talks took place on Sunday in Bürgenstock, Switzerland, with delegations from Iran, the United States, Qatar, and Pakistan participating.
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
The US-Iran peace talks took place on Sunday in Bürgenstock, Switzerland, with delegations from Iran, the United States, Qatar, and Pakistan participating.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD rebounds to near $66.00 amid fading US-Iran talks optimismSilver price (XAG/USD) halts its three-day losing streak, trading around $65.90 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday.
Author  FXStreet
16 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) halts its three-day losing streak, trading around $65.90 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday.
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Trades above $75.50 on Iran uncertainty; 200-day SMA holds the keyWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the $72.80 region, or the lowest level since early March, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Jun 19, Fri
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the $72.80 region, or the lowest level since early March, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Friday.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote