EUR/GBP flat lines above mid-0.8300s, remains confined in a multi-day-old range

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP struggles for a firm near-term direction as traders keenly await the ECB on Thursday. 
  • The ECB is expected to lower interest rates again amid easing inflation and economic slowdown.
  • Bets for an aggressive BoE policy easing undermine the GBP and act as a headwind for the cross. 

The EUR/GBP cross extends its sideways consolidative price move through the first half of the European session on Monday and remains confined in a familiar range held over the past week or so. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.8365 region, nearly unchanged for the day as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key central bank event risk later this week. 

The European Central Bank (ECB) is scheduled to announce its policy decision on Thursday and is expected to cut interest rates again for the third time this easing cycle amid mounting concerns over sluggish growth. Furthermore, inflation in the Eurozone fell below the ECB's 2% target for the first time since 2021 and backs the case for further policy easing. This, in turn, undermines the shared currency and turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/GBP cross. 

Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey recently hinted that the central bank could cut interest rates more aggressively if there's further good news on inflation. The comments fueled speculation that the BoE might be headed towards speeding up its rate-cutting cycle and hold back traders from placing bullish bets around the British Pound (GBP). This, to a larger extent, offsets the negative factor and offers some support to the EUR/GBP cross.

The aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop supports prospects for an extension of the subdued range price action in the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases, either from the Eurozone or the UK. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained move in either direction before positioning for a firm near-term trajectory.

Economic Indicator

ECB Rate On Deposit Facility

One of the European Central Bank's three key interest rates, the rate on the deposit facility, is the rate at which banks earn interest when they deposit funds with the ECB. It is announced by the European Central Bank at each of its eight scheduled annual meetings.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Oct 17, 2024 12:15

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: 3.25%

Previous: 3.5%

Source: European Central Bank

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed Officials Speak Out in Force to Back Rate Cut! December Cut Now a Done Deal? Will the FOMC Meeting Be Delayed?TradingKey - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly has voiced support for a rate cut at next month's meeting, citing the greater likelihood and harder-to-manage risk of a sudden deteriorat
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
TradingKey - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly has voiced support for a rate cut at next month's meeting, citing the greater likelihood and harder-to-manage risk of a sudden deteriorat
placeholder
Bitcoin Bleeds to $86K, But This Key Indicator Screams "The Top Isn't In"Bitcoin’s adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has spent nearly two years coiling below the extremes seen at past bull-market peaks, even as BTC trades around $86,300 and down 9% on the week — a setup that leaves open the possibility that this cycle’s true top may still lie ahead.
Author  Mitrade
14 hours ago
Bitcoin’s adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (aSOPR) has spent nearly two years coiling below the extremes seen at past bull-market peaks, even as BTC trades around $86,300 and down 9% on the week — a setup that leaves open the possibility that this cycle’s true top may still lie ahead.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD rises to near $4,150 as Fed rate cut bets growGold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers to around $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal rises on growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in the December policy meeting.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers to around $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal rises on growing expectations of a US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in the December policy meeting.
placeholder
U.S. Q3 Earnings Season Nears Close as Investors Eye Dell, HP Results.U.S. October PCE Price Index Released【The week ahead】TradingKey - Last week, concerns over an AI bubble, coupled with fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, triggered a broad sell-off in U.S. equities. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC.
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 18
TradingKey - Last week, concerns over an AI bubble, coupled with fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, triggered a broad sell-off in U.S. equities. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC.
placeholder
Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP Attempt Recovery Post-SelloffBitcoin trades back above $87,700 after a 20% drop, while Ethereum rebounds from support around $2,749 and XRP recovers above $2.08 off its $1.96 floor, as BTC, ETH and XRP all try to turn last week’s steep correction into the start of a broader recovery.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 05: 58
Bitcoin trades back above $87,700 after a 20% drop, while Ethereum rebounds from support around $2,749 and XRP recovers above $2.08 off its $1.96 floor, as BTC, ETH and XRP all try to turn last week’s steep correction into the start of a broader recovery.
goTop
quote