NZD/USD trims gains above 0.6120 ahead of the Fed rate decision

Source Fxstreet
  • NZD/USD posts modest gains near 0.6135 in Wednesday’s early Asian session.
  • The number of job openings in the US rose to 9.026 million in December;  Consumer Confidence surged to a two-year high in January.
  • RBNZ’s Conway maintained the hawkish stance and pushed back on rate cut expectations this year.
  • The FOMC interest rate decision and press conference will be closely watched by traders.

The NZD/USD pair trims gains but is still comfortably above 0.6100. The stronger-than-expected labor market data might convince the Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay cutting rates this year, which caps the downside of the US Dollar (USD). Investors will closely watch the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision later on Wednesday, with no change in rate expected. At press time, the NZD/USD pair is trading at 0.6135, adding 0.02% for the day.

Data released from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed that the number of job openings in the United States rose to 9.026 million in December, above the November figure which was revised up to 8.925 million. Meanwhile, Conference Board Consumer Confidence surged to a two-year high in January, coming in at 114.8 in January versus 108.0 prior. Both reports failed to boost the Greenback as traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the FOMC meeting.

The FOMC is anticipated to leave its monetary conditions unaltered. The markets will focus on any hint of the timing of a potential interest rate cut from the Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. The dovish remarks from Powell might exert some selling pressure on the USD and act as a headwind for the NZD/USD pair.

On the Kiwi front, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Chief Economist Paul Conway maintained a hawkish stance and pushed back on rate cut expectations. Conway stated on Tuesday that recent economic data indicate that monetary policy is working as the economy slows and inflation eases. However, there is still some way to go before inflation reaches the target midpoint of 2%.

The US ADP Employment Change for January will be due on Wednesday, ahead of the FOMC interest rate decision and the press conference. On Friday, the attention will shift to US employment data, including Nonfarm Payrolls, and Unemployment Rate.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 20, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 20, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 20, Tue
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 20, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Dollar presses 102 as the 10-year yield sits at 5.14% — and October hike odds are only 17%The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 20, Tue
The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 22, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 22, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 58
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 22, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
22 hours ago
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
2 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote