NZD/USD trims gains above 0.6120 ahead of the Fed rate decision

Source Fxstreet
  • NZD/USD posts modest gains near 0.6135 in Wednesday’s early Asian session.
  • The number of job openings in the US rose to 9.026 million in December;  Consumer Confidence surged to a two-year high in January.
  • RBNZ’s Conway maintained the hawkish stance and pushed back on rate cut expectations this year.
  • The FOMC interest rate decision and press conference will be closely watched by traders.

The NZD/USD pair trims gains but is still comfortably above 0.6100. The stronger-than-expected labor market data might convince the Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay cutting rates this year, which caps the downside of the US Dollar (USD). Investors will closely watch the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision later on Wednesday, with no change in rate expected. At press time, the NZD/USD pair is trading at 0.6135, adding 0.02% for the day.

Data released from the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed that the number of job openings in the United States rose to 9.026 million in December, above the November figure which was revised up to 8.925 million. Meanwhile, Conference Board Consumer Confidence surged to a two-year high in January, coming in at 114.8 in January versus 108.0 prior. Both reports failed to boost the Greenback as traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the FOMC meeting.

The FOMC is anticipated to leave its monetary conditions unaltered. The markets will focus on any hint of the timing of a potential interest rate cut from the Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. The dovish remarks from Powell might exert some selling pressure on the USD and act as a headwind for the NZD/USD pair.

On the Kiwi front, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Chief Economist Paul Conway maintained a hawkish stance and pushed back on rate cut expectations. Conway stated on Tuesday that recent economic data indicate that monetary policy is working as the economy slows and inflation eases. However, there is still some way to go before inflation reaches the target midpoint of 2%.

The US ADP Employment Change for January will be due on Wednesday, ahead of the FOMC interest rate decision and the press conference. On Friday, the attention will shift to US employment data, including Nonfarm Payrolls, and Unemployment Rate.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% — and two officials voted to hike. December is now 85% pricedThe FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 29, Thu
The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 3, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 03, Tue
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 3, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 03, Tue
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Brent at $103.60: the peace trade is selling paper, but the physical market just drew 5.3 million barrelsBrent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 36
Brent settled at $103.60, its lowest close since October 7 and an 8% weekly drop on US-Iran talks. Yet API crude stocks fell 5.267 million barrels versus a 2.1 million build expected.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 4, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 4, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
22 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 4, 2026. Read on for the details.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote