USD/CAD Price Forecast: Establishes new uptrend after sudden reversal

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD is unfolding a bullish move higher within a longer-term range. 
  • The short-term trend is now bullish, favoring more upside eventually. 

USD/CAD was declining within its longer-term range until it bottomed out on September 25 and began rising. 

What started out looking like a correction of the downmove has since morphed into a full blown bullish reversal and the start of a new leg higher within the range. 

USD/CAD Daily Chart 

The short-term trend is now bullish and given the old saying that “the trend is your friend” the odds favor a continuation higher. 

The next target to the upside lies at resistance from multiple market tops at around 1.3789. A break above that could see prices push further up to 1.3850. It would be wise to wait for a pullback before any aggressive buying. The support zone between 1.3650 and 1.3670 might be a good place to enter longs. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 68.34 which is almost in the overbought zone above 70. If it moves into overbought it will be a signal not to add to long positions. 

USD/CAD had been unfolding what looked like an ABC pattern or Measured Move during August and most of September (see chart). The pattern generated downside targets near the base of the range. 

However, price action since has proven this interpretation wrong, invalidating the bearish forecast.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 08, Tue
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Brent holds above $100 as tanker attacks tighten supply — but four forces are capping the rallyBrent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 10, Thu
Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
placeholder
US August CPI Preview: Will Inflation Reaccelerate? US Stocks, Dollar and Gold Face Key Test On Friday, September 11 (ET), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, the final major inflation report before the Federal Reserve's Sep
Author  TradingKey
Sep 10, Thu
On Friday, September 11 (ET), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, the final major inflation report before the Federal Reserve's Sep
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 26
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PPI and Oil Prices Fuel Inflation Concerns, Can CPI Change Gold's Direction?As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Author  TradingKey
23 hours ago
As of the Asian session on September 11, gold prices (XAUUSD) remained in weak consolidation today after dropping sharply to near $4,300 on Thursday, with the latest price trading around
Related Instrument
goTop
quote