USD/CAD Price Forecast: Establishes new uptrend after sudden reversal

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD is unfolding a bullish move higher within a longer-term range. 
  • The short-term trend is now bullish, favoring more upside eventually. 

USD/CAD was declining within its longer-term range until it bottomed out on September 25 and began rising. 

What started out looking like a correction of the downmove has since morphed into a full blown bullish reversal and the start of a new leg higher within the range. 

USD/CAD Daily Chart 

The short-term trend is now bullish and given the old saying that “the trend is your friend” the odds favor a continuation higher. 

The next target to the upside lies at resistance from multiple market tops at around 1.3789. A break above that could see prices push further up to 1.3850. It would be wise to wait for a pullback before any aggressive buying. The support zone between 1.3650 and 1.3670 might be a good place to enter longs. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 68.34 which is almost in the overbought zone above 70. If it moves into overbought it will be a signal not to add to long positions. 

USD/CAD had been unfolding what looked like an ABC pattern or Measured Move during August and most of September (see chart). The pattern generated downside targets near the base of the range. 

However, price action since has proven this interpretation wrong, invalidating the bearish forecast.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds positive ground above $2,020 ahead of US CPI dataGold price (XAU/USD) drifted higher during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday.
Author  FXStreet
Jan 11, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) drifted higher during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday.
placeholder
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 06, Tue
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
placeholder
WTI rises to near $89.50 as Middle East supply threats offset Persian Gulf recoveryWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 26
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retraces gains and nears two-month lows at $4,104Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and resumes its broader bearish trend, with the US Dollar (USD) appreciating across the board, as investors brace for the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 10: 13
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and resumes its broader bearish trend, with the US Dollar (USD) appreciating across the board, as investors brace for the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.
placeholder
Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Author  Irene Q.
7 hours ago
Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote