Scope for near-term softness in the EUR – Rabobank

Source Fxstreet

EUR/USD has failed to hold below the 1.0800 level. Nonetheless, economists at Rabobank expect the shared currency to remain under downside pressure.

Risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view

While we expect that the ECB policy will remain on hold until there are further signs of moderation in wage pressures, the relative softness of the Eurozone economy is still likely to support market speculation regarding a spring rate cut. This suggests scope for near-term softness in the EUR. 

It is our house view that the Fed will hold rates steady until June. Consequently, we expect the market to continue pricing out expectations regarding an earlier move which should support the USD.

We continue to see risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,350 as US Dollar, Treasury yields slipGold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 03, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the ‌US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
placeholder
Gold rebounds past $4,400 as rate-hike odds cool ahead of NFPGold is back above $4,400 after weak ADP data cut September rate-hike odds to ~58%. XAU/USD rebounded from Wednesday's $4,282 low; Friday's NFP is the next catalyst.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 03, Thu
Gold is back above $4,400 after weak ADP data cut September rate-hike odds to ~58%. XAU/USD rebounded from Wednesday's $4,282 low; Friday's NFP is the next catalyst.
placeholder
Gold rebounds above $4,450 as Waller tempers Fed rate hike bets ahead US jobs dataGold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 32
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains momentum to around $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extended its recovery as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets ease. All eyes will be on the US August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is due later on Friday. 
placeholder
Yen hits one-month high on BOJ September-hike bets; AUD/JPY cracks support as carry unwindsUSD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 06: 52
USD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote