Scope for near-term softness in the EUR – Rabobank

Source Fxstreet

EUR/USD has failed to hold below the 1.0800 level. Nonetheless, economists at Rabobank expect the shared currency to remain under downside pressure.

Risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view

While we expect that the ECB policy will remain on hold until there are further signs of moderation in wage pressures, the relative softness of the Eurozone economy is still likely to support market speculation regarding a spring rate cut. This suggests scope for near-term softness in the EUR. 

It is our house view that the Fed will hold rates steady until June. Consequently, we expect the market to continue pricing out expectations regarding an earlier move which should support the USD.

We continue to see risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Escalating US-Iran Tanker Attacks and Strait of Hormuz Risks Push Brent to $120? International oil prices continued to climb on Monday, extending their strong performance from the previous week.As military confrontations between the U.S. and Iran heat up again in and
Author  TradingKey
5 hours ago
International oil prices continued to climb on Monday, extending their strong performance from the previous week.As military confrontations between the U.S. and Iran heat up again in and
placeholder
Hot August jobs report reignites Fed-hike bets; S&P 500 slips below 7,700 — what to watch before the September FOMCAugust nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
9 hours ago
August nonfarm payrolls surged to 162,000, three times the consensus, pushing CME FedWatch odds of a September 25-bp hike to 58.4% and dragging the S&P 500 below 7,700. CPI, PPI and the Sept 15-16 FOMC decision now set the tone for US stocks.
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: Nonfarm Payrolls Far Exceed Expectations, Fed Rate Hike Expectations Heat Up, Micron Surges 6% Against the Trend, SanDisk Jumps Over 10%Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - On September 4, Eastern Time, the three major US stock indices closed lower across the board. US August non-farm payrolls data far exceeded market expectations, rein
Author  TradingKey
14 hours ago
Tracking Market TrendsTradingKey - On September 4, Eastern Time, the three major US stock indices closed lower across the board. US August non-farm payrolls data far exceeded market expectations, rein
placeholder
Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP await US NFP for next directional moveBitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) extend their weekly gains on Friday as traders await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for the next directional catalyst.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 04, Fri
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) extend their weekly gains on Friday as traders await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for the next directional catalyst.
placeholder
Yen hits one-month high on BOJ September-hike bets; AUD/JPY cracks support as carry unwindsUSD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
Author  Suzie
Sep 04, Fri
USD/JPY has tumbled from the 160 area to a one-month low near 155.2 in two sessions as Bank of Japan hike bets for the Sept 17-18 meeting intensify. AUD/JPY has broken below 112.7, flagging carry-trade stress. A test of 155.21 - and then 153 - is now in focus.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote