Scope for near-term softness in the EUR – Rabobank

Source Fxstreet

EUR/USD has failed to hold below the 1.0800 level. Nonetheless, economists at Rabobank expect the shared currency to remain under downside pressure.

Risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view

While we expect that the ECB policy will remain on hold until there are further signs of moderation in wage pressures, the relative softness of the Eurozone economy is still likely to support market speculation regarding a spring rate cut. This suggests scope for near-term softness in the EUR. 

It is our house view that the Fed will hold rates steady until June. Consequently, we expect the market to continue pricing out expectations regarding an earlier move which should support the USD.

We continue to see risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Have Fed Rate Hike Headwinds Been Priced In? Gold Rebounds Strongly Toward $4,400, Poised for a New Rally As of the European session on September 18, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended Thursday's rebound, rising strongly in intraday trading to $4,399.75 today, just shy of the $4,400 psychological
Author  TradingKey
10 hours ago
As of the European session on September 18, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended Thursday's rebound, rising strongly in intraday trading to $4,399.75 today, just shy of the $4,400 psychological
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
12 hours ago
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
18 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
placeholder
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Can Brent Hold $100 Amid Hawkish Fed Rate Hikes and Easing Supply Concerns? International oil prices continued to fall after the Federal Reserve resumed rate hikes in September. On Wednesday, WTI crude dropped 3.28% to settle at $102.02 per barrel; Brent crude fe
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 09: 59
International oil prices continued to fall after the Federal Reserve resumed rate hikes in September. On Wednesday, WTI crude dropped 3.28% to settle at $102.02 per barrel; Brent crude fe
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 02: 54
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote