Scope for near-term softness in the EUR – Rabobank
Source Fxstreet
EUR/USD has failed to hold below the 1.0800 level. Nonetheless, economists at Rabobank expect the shared currency to remain under downside pressure.
Risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view
While we expect that the ECB policy will remain on hold until there are further signs of moderation in wage pressures, the relative softness of the Eurozone economy is still likely to support market speculation regarding a spring rate cut. This suggests scope for near-term softness in the EUR.
It is our house view that the Fed will hold rates steady until June. Consequently, we expect the market to continue pricing out expectations regarding an earlier move which should support the USD.
We continue to see risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
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