Scope for near-term softness in the EUR – Rabobank

Source Fxstreet

EUR/USD has failed to hold below the 1.0800 level. Nonetheless, economists at Rabobank expect the shared currency to remain under downside pressure.

Risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view

While we expect that the ECB policy will remain on hold until there are further signs of moderation in wage pressures, the relative softness of the Eurozone economy is still likely to support market speculation regarding a spring rate cut. This suggests scope for near-term softness in the EUR. 

It is our house view that the Fed will hold rates steady until June. Consequently, we expect the market to continue pricing out expectations regarding an earlier move which should support the USD.

We continue to see risk of EUR/USD dipping to 1.0500 on a three-month view.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Returns to $4,200 Ahead of US September CPI, Can the Rally Continue?As of the Asian session on October 12, gold prices (XAUUSD) consolidated at high levels following a sharp rebound last week. As of press time, gold prices were down slightly by 0.2%, trad
Author  TradingKey
10 hours ago
As of the Asian session on October 12, gold prices (XAUUSD) consolidated at high levels following a sharp rebound last week. As of press time, gold prices were down slightly by 0.2%, trad
placeholder
Bank earnings kick off tomorrow with the S&P 500 seven points from a record — what JPMorgan, Goldman, Citi and Wells Fargo must proveQ3 earnings season starts Tuesday with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo reporting before the open — with the S&P 500 just 7 points from its record close, bank stocks down 7.5% over the past month, and September CPI landing the next day. Here are the numbers to watch, the two-sided setup and the levels that matter.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
Q3 earnings season starts Tuesday with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo reporting before the open — with the S&P 500 just 7 points from its record close, bank stocks down 7.5% over the past month, and September CPI landing the next day. Here are the numbers to watch, the two-sided setup and the levels that matter.
placeholder
Brent swings $105.63 to $102.33 as Gulf risk meets an 'energy ceasefire' — can $100 hold into CPI?Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
Brent spiked to $105.63 in Asian trade on fresh Middle East supply incidents, then reversed to $102.33 after the US announced a Russia-Ukraine 'energy ceasefire' and 300,000+ tonnes of Russian diesel headed to global markets; WTI fell through $90. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's US CPI.
placeholder
WTI declines to near $90.00 despite escalating Middle East conflict, supply risksWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) declines after two days of gains, trading around $90.00 per barrel during Asian hours on Monday.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declines after two days of gains, trading around $90.00 per barrel during Asian hours on Monday.
placeholder
Gold posts first weekly gain in three weeks — can $4,200 hold through CPI?Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 10, Sat
Spot gold closed at $4,194.645, up 1.47% — its first weekly gain in three weeks — and COMEX futures settled back above $4,200 at $4,220.30. Here are the drivers, the levels and the scenarios into Wednesday's CPI.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote