NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears take the reins, technical outlook signals further losses
Source Fxstreet
- The NZD/USD declined by 0.60% to 0.6125, extending its recent downtrend.
- The RSI is in negative territory and declining, while the MACD histogram is red and rising.
- A break below 0.6100 could open the door for a further decline towards 0.6000.
In Monday's session, the NZD/USD pair extended its recent decline, falling by 0.60% to 0.6125. The pair has been in a downtrend lately, and today's losses extend that trend. The technical indicators are also bearish, suggesting that the selling pressure is likely to continue.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 40, which is in negative territory and declining sharply. This suggests that selling pressure is increasing and that the bears are in control of the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is also red and rising, indicating a bearish outlook. As long as the RSI remains below 50 and the MACD histogram remains red, the technical outlook will remain bearish for the NZD/USD.
NZD/USD daily chart
The overall outlook for the NZD/USD is bearish as the pair lost its 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). On the bright side, the sellers encountered a barrier at the 100-day SMA at 0.6120 which can mitigate the losses in the near term. That being said, a break below this level could open the door for a further decline towards 0.6000.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Bitwise's Matt Hougan Predicts a Crypto Boom in 2026 Amid Current Market Struggles
Ethereum slides 5% as bears lean on $3,500 cap and put $3,150 support in focusEthereum (ETH) drops more than 5% after a failed push above $3,550, with price sliding to $3,153 and now holding below $3,350, the 100-hour SMA and a bearish trend line at $3,500; unless bulls reclaim the $3,350–$3,500 zone, the short-term bias stays bearish and a clean break under $3,150 could expose $3,050, $3,000 and even the $2,880–$2,850 support area.
Ethereum (ETH) drops more than 5% after a failed push above $3,550, with price sliding to $3,153 and now holding below $3,350, the 100-hour SMA and a bearish trend line at $3,500; unless bulls reclaim the $3,350–$3,500 zone, the short-term bias stays bearish and a clean break under $3,150 could expose $3,050, $3,000 and even the $2,880–$2,850 support area.
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trade in red on Friday after correcting more than 5%, 10% and 2%, respectively, so far this week.
Bitcoin slides deeper into red as bears lean on $96,600 wall and eye $90,000Bitcoin extends its decline after failing to reclaim $96,500, trading below $95,000, the 100-hour SMA and a bearish trend line near $96,600; unless bulls can force a decisive close back above $96,600–$97,200, the short-term path of least resistance stays lower, with $92,500, $90,000 and the main $88,500 support zone in focus.
Bitcoin extends its decline after failing to reclaim $96,500, trading below $95,000, the 100-hour SMA and a bearish trend line near $96,600; unless bulls can force a decisive close back above $96,600–$97,200, the short-term path of least resistance stays lower, with $92,500, $90,000 and the main $88,500 support zone in focus.
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Related Instrument
