AUD/USD: Strong resistance exists at 0.6800 – UOB Group
Source Fxstreet
Instead of strengthening further, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to trade in a 0.6740/0.6785 range instead. Room for AUD to continue to rise, but it has to surpass 0.6800 before further advance can be expected, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
AUD has to surpass 0.6800 to continue growing
24-HOUR VIEW: “While we expected AUD to strengthen yesterday, we indicated that ‘any advance is unlikely to reach 0.6800.’ AUD subsequently rose, but it came close to reaching 0.6800 (high has been 0.6799). AUD pulled back from the high and closed slightly higher (0.6760, 0.19%). The pullback in overbought conditions suggest that instead of strengthening further today, AUD is likely to trade in 0.6740/0.6785 range instead.”
1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We turned positive in AUD early last week. In our most recent narrative from Monday (08 Jul, spot at 0.6745), we highlighted that ‘increasing upward momentum suggests AUD is likely to continue to rise to 0.6800.’ Yesterday, AUD rose to within one pip of 0.6800, reaching a high of 0.6799. While there is room for AUD to continue to rise, it has to surpass 0.6800 before further advance can be expected. Given the overbought conditions, it remains to be seen if AUD can break above 0.6800 in the next few days. Overall, only a breach of 0.6725 (‘strong support’ level was at 0.6700 yesterday) would indicate that the AUD strength has come to an end.”
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC slips below $64,000 as hawkish Fed stance weighs on risk appetiteBitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Thursday. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged but struck a hawkish tone on Wednesday, dampening the risk sentiment.
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Thursday. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged but struck a hawkish tone on Wednesday, dampening the risk sentiment.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – steadies during the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's downfall amid mixed messaging from the US and Iran.
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds to around $4,120 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal edges higher as traders weigh a resumption of war in the Middle East.
Related Instrument
