NZD/USD Price Analysis: Breach of 20-day SMA support opens door to further declines

Source Fxstreet
  • NZD/USD faced heav losses, breaching the previously held 20-day SMA support, now resistance.
  • The technical outlook transitions towards a bearish sentiment, following Wednesday's sharp decline.
  • Bears broke the 20-day SMA and are eyeing the strong support formed by the convergence of the 100 and 200-day SMAs near 0.6070.

On Wednesday, the NZD/USD dropped, losing more than 0.70% to 0.6080, obliterating its support at the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which was regained last week and tainted the outlook with red.

As for the daily technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 43, showing a downward trajectory, indicating a considerable decrease in buying momentum compared to Tuesday's close at 52. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) printed a fresh red bar, suggesting an increasing bearish momentum.

NZD/USD daily chart

In terms of resistance for bulls to recover, the immediate challenge lies at the 0.6115 level (20-day SMA) now turned into resistance, and then at 0.6150. A decisive close above these levels will be crucial to negate the recent bearish momentum and might assist bulls in making a fresh attempt to reclaim control.

On the downside, immediate support is near the crucial convergence of 100 and 200-day SMAs at 0.6070. A conclusive break below this level could affirm the negative outlook, triggering a deeper corrective slide towards 0.6050 and then the 0.6030 support levels.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to $3,946 off $3,870 as oil does the Fed's work — but the ETF bid is still missingGold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
Author  Irene Q.
Nov 03, Tue
Gold closed at $3,946, up 1.84% from a one-year low of $3,870.25, as Brent's 7.6% slide cut December hike odds to 77%. ETF holdings are still shrinking — a short-covering bounce, not new money.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 5, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 5, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 05, Thu
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 5, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 6, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 36
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 6, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Gold's $250 week runs into the last payrolls before DecemberSpot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 03
Spot gold traded at $4,080.79 after a roughly 6% weekly rally from the Oct 30 low of $3,869.85, touching $4,146.63 on Nov 5. Three bids are stacked into the move: real-rate relief, record official-sector buying, and a geopolitical premium. Tonight's October payrolls (+65K consensus, 4.2% unemployment) decide which bid survives, with $4,000 and $4,200 as the two lines.
placeholder
Micron's $4.5 billion Taiwan fab won't make a chip until 2028 — the market sold it as a 2026 problemMicron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 28
Micron fell 17.46% to $656.39 after Bloomberg reported construction at its $4.5 billion Taoyuan Fab 11E had all but halted over a labor dispute. The plant was not due online until 2028, so no 2026 output is lost. With FY27 EPS consensus near $160 and 2027 HBM sold out, the selloff is a peak-cycle multiple reset, not a demand collapse — and $650 is the line that separates the two.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote