EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Signs the downtrend could be resuming

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP forms a two bar reversal pattern and begins descending. 
  • This comes after price has filled a gap on the charts – another reversal sign. 
  • Evidence is building that the correction from the June 14 lows has rolled over and the intermediate downtrend is resuming. 

EUR/GBP is potentially resuming its medium-term downtrend after correcting higher since the June 14 lows. 

EUR/GBP Daily Chart 

The pair has formed a two-bar reversal pattern at the peak of the correction, on July 1-2 (light blue rectangle) which is a bearish indicator. Two-bar reversals occur when price peaks and forms a green candle which is succeeded by a red candle of a similar shape and size. The fact that the day after the pattern was also bearish is further confirmation. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart


 

A further indication the dominant downtrend is resuming is that EUR/GBP has filled the price gap that opened between 0.8472 and 0.8490 (red shaded area). This gap can be seen on the 4-hour chart above.

It is said prices are often drawn to fill gaps and now they have there is more chance the downtrend will resume. 

A break below 0.8458 (July 3 and June 28 low) would provide added bearish confirmation. 

The next downside target would be the 0.8431 June 25 low. 

Alternatively if the pair recovers, and breaks above 0.8499 (July 1) it could indicate a continuation of the correction higher, with the 50-day Simple Moving Average at 0.8517 providing resistance and the next target to the upside. 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Oct 01, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
United States Dollar Index sits near March 2025 highs, above 102.00 ahead of US NFPThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 02: 51
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Dips to $91.50 as Middle East jitters limit lossesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 06: 47
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote