EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Signs the downtrend could be resuming

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP forms a two bar reversal pattern and begins descending. 
  • This comes after price has filled a gap on the charts – another reversal sign. 
  • Evidence is building that the correction from the June 14 lows has rolled over and the intermediate downtrend is resuming. 

EUR/GBP is potentially resuming its medium-term downtrend after correcting higher since the June 14 lows. 

EUR/GBP Daily Chart 

The pair has formed a two-bar reversal pattern at the peak of the correction, on July 1-2 (light blue rectangle) which is a bearish indicator. Two-bar reversals occur when price peaks and forms a green candle which is succeeded by a red candle of a similar shape and size. The fact that the day after the pattern was also bearish is further confirmation. 

EUR/GBP 4-hour Chart


 

A further indication the dominant downtrend is resuming is that EUR/GBP has filled the price gap that opened between 0.8472 and 0.8490 (red shaded area). This gap can be seen on the 4-hour chart above.

It is said prices are often drawn to fill gaps and now they have there is more chance the downtrend will resume. 

A break below 0.8458 (July 3 and June 28 low) would provide added bearish confirmation. 

The next downside target would be the 0.8431 June 25 low. 

Alternatively if the pair recovers, and breaks above 0.8499 (July 1) it could indicate a continuation of the correction higher, with the 50-day Simple Moving Average at 0.8517 providing resistance and the next target to the upside. 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 18, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 18, Fri
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
placeholder
Bitcoin squeezes back above $80,000 — 110,000 traders liquidated as the hawkish Fed and CLARITY setback fail to hold it down; is $83,000 next?Bitcoin closed above $80,000 on Friday for the first time since September 7, and pushed to $81,299 over the weekend, triggering about $603 million of liquidations — $523 million of them shorts — across more than 110,000 traders. With the Fed's hike already priced and the SEC and CFTC advancing crypto rules after the CLARITY Act failed, here is what stands between BTC and the $83,000 gate.
Author  Suzie
7 hours ago
Bitcoin closed above $80,000 on Friday for the first time since September 7, and pushed to $81,299 over the weekend, triggering about $603 million of liquidations — $523 million of them shorts — across more than 110,000 traders. With the Fed's hike already priced and the SEC and CFTC advancing crypto rules after the CLARITY Act failed, here is what stands between BTC and the $83,000 gate.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote