EUR/USD bounces back strongly as market sentiment improves
Source Fxstreet
- EUR/USD rebounds swiftly from 1.0670 as the appeal for risk-perceived assets improves.
- The US economic outlook appears to be stronger than its peers.
- Weak preliminary Eurozone PMI boosts hopes of ECB’s subsequent rate cuts.
The EUR/USD pair recovers strongly from a weekly low of 1.0670 in Monday’s European session. The major currency pair bounces back as the appeal for risk-sensitive assets improves amid growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start reducing interest rates in the September meeting and will deliver two rate cuts this year.
S&P 500 futures have posted some gains in the London session. 10-Year US Treasury yields remain sluggish near 4.25%. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, corrects from the seven-week high of 105.90.
On Friday, the US Dollar (USD) performed strongly after the preliminary S&P Global PMI report for June showed that overall economic activity surprisingly expanded. Flash United States (US) Services business activity expanded to 26-month high at 55.1. The Manufacturing PMI rose to three-month high at 51.7.
Though the US Dollar corrects from seven-month high, its near-term appeal has improved. Where all major economies failed to meeting PMI estimates, the US economy surprisingly expanded at a faster pace than their prior release.
Meanwhile, the Euro delivers an upbeat performance against its peers in Monday’s session as investors digest political uncertainty in France ahead of thefirst legislative elections round scheduled for June 30.
The Euro recovered despite the preliminary HCOB PMI report for June pointing to a slowdown in the Eurozone economy. Both Manufacturing and Services PMIs were weaker than expected, which has boosted expectations of subsequent rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB).
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant.
The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year.
Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus.
Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses.
Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
