GBP/USD Price Analysis: Recovers above 1.2700 amid soft US Dollar

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/USD bounces back off weekly lows around 1.2680.
  • Technical outlook shows neutral to upward bias, with key resistance at 1.2803.
  • Critical support levels include May 24 low at 1.2674 and the 50-DMA at 1.2581.

The Pound Sterling recovered some ground against the US Dollar on Thursday, as US Treasury yields are sliding, undermining the Greenback. Consequently, the GBP/USD bounced off weekly lows, reached 1.2680, and traded at 1.2728, gaining 0.20%.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart suggests the GBP/USD is neutral to upward bias, but the buyer's failure to crack the March 21 daily high at 1.2803 opened the door for a pullback. Although momentum remains bullish, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), buying pressure begins to fade after testing 1.2800.

For a bullish continuation, the GBP/USD needs to surpass 1.2803. That would sponsor a rally to the year-to-date (YTD) high of 1.2893, followed by 1.2900. Overhead resistance lies ahead, with 1.3000 seen as a crucial resistance.

Conversely, if sellers move in decisively and push the major below 1.2700, further losses lie ahead. Key support levels would be tested. Initially, the May 24 low of 1.2674, followed by the 1.2600 mark. Down below, the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2581 awaits.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.273
Today Daily Change 0.0029
Today Daily Change % 0.23
Today daily open 1.2701
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2635
Daily SMA50 1.2581
Daily SMA100 1.2634
Daily SMA200 1.2541
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2772
Previous Daily Low 1.2699
Previous Weekly High 1.2761
Previous Weekly Low 1.2676
Previous Monthly High 1.2709
Previous Monthly Low 1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2727
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2744
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2676
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2651
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2604
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2749
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2797
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2821

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Big Tech's $800 billion AI bill faces its first real test — free cash flow is the judgeAlphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 26, Mon
Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
placeholder
Tesla jumps 5% as Barclays puts a $450 target on the SpaceX merger — the chart was already pointing to 431Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 30
Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
placeholder
Anthropic files for a $2 trillion IPO — the $80.7 billion loss is the decoy, the $450 billion compute bill is the riskAnthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 02
Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
placeholder
Fed October Rate Decision Preview: Rate Hike Pause Has Become Consensus, How Will US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold React?The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 21
The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
Related Instrument
goTop
quote