NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bullish momentum adjusts, correction begins following overbought signals

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily chart continues to flash overbought signals despite a slight correction, with the overall uptrend still intact.
  • Despite a minor dip to 96.40, NZD/JPY remains near its multi-year peak.
  • The critical support level for the pair remains firmly at 95.00, marking a pivotal level to ward off losses.

In Wednesday's session, the NZD/JPY pair saw a small correction to 96.40 but remains at its highest level since July 2007 at around 96.70. This adjustment doesn't quite alter the current outlook, merely turning it slightly cautious given the persistent overbought signals, but the overarching bullish trend carries on.

The daily chart's indicators confirm this narrative where the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in a deep overbought condition. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) keeps showing sustained positive momentum with its consistent green bars.

NZD/JPY daily chart

On the hourly chart, there is a visible weakening of strength compared to the daily perspective, and an ongoing edging downward can be observed.

NZD/JPY hourly chart

In a broader context, the NZD/JPY continues to display a strong uptrend, as shown by its position above the 20, 100, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). Despite the slight correction, the pair's short-term gains still overshadow its medium and long-term averages.

As the looming correction gains momentum, any further downward movements should ideally keep the pair above its SMAs. Crucial to the monitoring is the first strong support level observed at 95.00, which the pair could potentially use to cushion any significant losses.

 

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 96.35
Today Daily Change -0.17
Today Daily Change % -0.18
Today daily open 96.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 94.31
Daily SMA50 92.61
Daily SMA100 91.85
Daily SMA200 90.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 96.74
Previous Daily Low 96.43
Previous Weekly High 96.15
Previous Weekly Low 95.08
Previous Monthly High 95.42
Previous Monthly Low 89.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 96.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 96.55
Daily Pivot Point S1 96.39
Daily Pivot Point S2 96.25
Daily Pivot Point S3 96.08
Daily Pivot Point R1 96.7
Daily Pivot Point R2 96.88
Daily Pivot Point R3 97.01

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as the CLARITY Act fails in the Senate — what the vote means for cryptoThe US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Author  Suzie
Sep 16, Wed
The US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
Sep 18, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 18, Fri
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote