NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bullish momentum adjusts, correction begins following overbought signals

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily chart continues to flash overbought signals despite a slight correction, with the overall uptrend still intact.
  • Despite a minor dip to 96.40, NZD/JPY remains near its multi-year peak.
  • The critical support level for the pair remains firmly at 95.00, marking a pivotal level to ward off losses.

In Wednesday's session, the NZD/JPY pair saw a small correction to 96.40 but remains at its highest level since July 2007 at around 96.70. This adjustment doesn't quite alter the current outlook, merely turning it slightly cautious given the persistent overbought signals, but the overarching bullish trend carries on.

The daily chart's indicators confirm this narrative where the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in a deep overbought condition. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) keeps showing sustained positive momentum with its consistent green bars.

NZD/JPY daily chart

On the hourly chart, there is a visible weakening of strength compared to the daily perspective, and an ongoing edging downward can be observed.

NZD/JPY hourly chart

In a broader context, the NZD/JPY continues to display a strong uptrend, as shown by its position above the 20, 100, and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA). Despite the slight correction, the pair's short-term gains still overshadow its medium and long-term averages.

As the looming correction gains momentum, any further downward movements should ideally keep the pair above its SMAs. Crucial to the monitoring is the first strong support level observed at 95.00, which the pair could potentially use to cushion any significant losses.

 

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 96.35
Today Daily Change -0.17
Today Daily Change % -0.18
Today daily open 96.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 94.31
Daily SMA50 92.61
Daily SMA100 91.85
Daily SMA200 90.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 96.74
Previous Daily Low 96.43
Previous Weekly High 96.15
Previous Weekly Low 95.08
Previous Monthly High 95.42
Previous Monthly Low 89.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 96.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 96.55
Daily Pivot Point S1 96.39
Daily Pivot Point S2 96.25
Daily Pivot Point S3 96.08
Daily Pivot Point R1 96.7
Daily Pivot Point R2 96.88
Daily Pivot Point R3 97.01

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 26, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 52
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Big Tech's $800 billion AI bill faces its first real test — free cash flow is the judgeAlphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
Author  Irene Q.
21 hours ago
Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
placeholder
Gold breaks $4,000 as oil becomes the inflation problem — $3,943 is the line that mattersSpot gold closed at $3,995.6 on October 23, down about 4.1% for the week and at its lowest since mid-July, and traded near $3,988 on October 26 even as Brent crude settled at $116.72 and Middle East supply risk stayed elevated. The war premium stopped working because oil is now the inflation trade: December Fed hike odds are 68.9% and the 10-year yield is 4.988%. Here are the three numbers, the transmission chain, and the July low at $3,943 that decides whether this is a bottom or a bigger correction.
Author  Irene Q.
20 hours ago
Spot gold closed at $3,995.6 on October 23, down about 4.1% for the week and at its lowest since mid-July, and traded near $3,988 on October 26 even as Brent crude settled at $116.72 and Middle East supply risk stayed elevated. The war premium stopped working because oil is now the inflation trade: December Fed hike odds are 68.9% and the 10-year yield is 4.988%. Here are the three numbers, the transmission chain, and the July low at $3,943 that decides whether this is a bottom or a bigger correction.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Drops Below $80,000 in Fifth Straight Loss, May Test $75,000 as FOMC Meeting Approaches Bitcoin falls below the $80,000 mark as the October FOMC decision approaches, threatening a further dip toward $75,000.On October 26, Bitcoin (BTC) again lost the key psychological mark o
Author  TradingKey
16 hours ago
Bitcoin falls below the $80,000 mark as the October FOMC decision approaches, threatening a further dip toward $75,000.On October 26, Bitcoin (BTC) again lost the key psychological mark o
Related Instrument
goTop
quote