EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Consolidation phase imminent as bulls retreat

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily RSI and MACD are edging downwards but remain in positive territory hinting at a possible consolidation phase that could be brief.
  • On the hourly chart, indicators have shifted into the negative zone, further pointing towards an ongoing correction phase.
  • The EUR/JPY's position above main SMAs keeps a long-term bullish sentiment alive despite the recent pullback.

In Wednesday's session, the EUR/JPY pair retreated slightly to 170.29, demonstrating an immediate dampening of the bullish momentum. However, since it remains close to cycle highs of 171.60, the consolidation period might not last long. Traders should observe the 170-168.00 range for potential correction movements before affirming changes to the outlook.

In the daily analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicate a slight downward movement but still remain in the positive region. Both demonstrate the stopped short bullish trend which may lead to a short consolidation phase.

EUR/JPY daily chart

On the hourly chart, both RSI and MACD have now edged into the negative zone, corroborating with the indication of an ongoing corrective phase, which is likely response to recent gains.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

Notably, the current position of the EUR/JPY pair above the 20-day SMA at 168.45, though threatened, maintains the short-term bullish sentiment. Any movements below this could, however, fundamentally shift the bullish scenario. Below it, the 100 and 200-day SMA offer additional supportive barriers in case sellers come in strong.

 

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 170.22
Today Daily Change -0.43
Today Daily Change % -0.25
Today daily open 170.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 168.21
Daily SMA50 166.17
Daily SMA100 163.71
Daily SMA200 161.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 170.8
Previous Daily Low 170.29
Previous Weekly High 170.5
Previous Weekly Low 169.05
Previous Monthly High 171.6
Previous Monthly Low 162.28
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 170.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 170.48
Daily Pivot Point S1 170.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 170.07
Daily Pivot Point S3 169.85
Daily Pivot Point R1 170.87
Daily Pivot Point R2 171.09
Daily Pivot Point R3 171.38

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD seems vulnerable; ascending channel breakdown in playSilver struggles to capitalize on the overnight modest rebound from the $36.20 area, or a nearly four-week low, and trades with a negative bias during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 01, 2025
Silver struggles to capitalize on the overnight modest rebound from the $36.20 area, or a nearly four-week low, and trades with a negative bias during the Asian session on Friday.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Gold declines below $4,500 on stalled US-Iran ceasefire talks, US NFP data loomsGold price (XAU/USD) edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Jun 05, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 
placeholder
Gold Price Trend Forecast: Gold Price Risks Falling Below $4,000, PCE Data Is Key As of the European session today (June 24), gold prices ( XAUUSD) remained weak and fell intraday, touching an intraday low of $4,050 to hit a near two-week low, signaling clear short-ter
Author  TradingKey
Jun 24, Wed
As of the European session today (June 24), gold prices ( XAUUSD) remained weak and fell intraday, touching an intraday low of $4,050 to hit a near two-week low, signaling clear short-ter
Related Instrument
goTop
quote