EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Consolidation phase imminent as bulls retreat

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily RSI and MACD are edging downwards but remain in positive territory hinting at a possible consolidation phase that could be brief.
  • On the hourly chart, indicators have shifted into the negative zone, further pointing towards an ongoing correction phase.
  • The EUR/JPY's position above main SMAs keeps a long-term bullish sentiment alive despite the recent pullback.

In Wednesday's session, the EUR/JPY pair retreated slightly to 170.29, demonstrating an immediate dampening of the bullish momentum. However, since it remains close to cycle highs of 171.60, the consolidation period might not last long. Traders should observe the 170-168.00 range for potential correction movements before affirming changes to the outlook.

In the daily analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicate a slight downward movement but still remain in the positive region. Both demonstrate the stopped short bullish trend which may lead to a short consolidation phase.

EUR/JPY daily chart

On the hourly chart, both RSI and MACD have now edged into the negative zone, corroborating with the indication of an ongoing corrective phase, which is likely response to recent gains.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

Notably, the current position of the EUR/JPY pair above the 20-day SMA at 168.45, though threatened, maintains the short-term bullish sentiment. Any movements below this could, however, fundamentally shift the bullish scenario. Below it, the 100 and 200-day SMA offer additional supportive barriers in case sellers come in strong.

 

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 170.22
Today Daily Change -0.43
Today Daily Change % -0.25
Today daily open 170.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 168.21
Daily SMA50 166.17
Daily SMA100 163.71
Daily SMA200 161.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 170.8
Previous Daily Low 170.29
Previous Weekly High 170.5
Previous Weekly Low 169.05
Previous Monthly High 171.6
Previous Monthly Low 162.28
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 170.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 170.48
Daily Pivot Point S1 170.36
Daily Pivot Point S2 170.07
Daily Pivot Point S3 169.85
Daily Pivot Point R1 170.87
Daily Pivot Point R2 171.09
Daily Pivot Point R3 171.38

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
EURUSD Long-term Forecast: Can ECB Hawks Overcome the Dollar Bullishness? As one of the most traded currency pair in the forex markets, the price of EURUSD affects many traders. Check out our EURUSD long-term forecast for more information.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 04, 2023
As one of the most traded currency pair in the forex markets, the price of EURUSD affects many traders. Check out our EURUSD long-term forecast for more information.
placeholder
Bitcoin ETF Inflows For 2025 Now Outpace 2024, Data ShowsUS Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen more inflows this year so far compared to the same point in 2024, according to data.
Author  Bitcoinist
Jul 16, 2025
US Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen more inflows this year so far compared to the same point in 2024, according to data.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookGet a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Author  Rachel Weiss
3 hours ago
Get a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote