GBP/USD trims gains above 1.2750 amid US Dollar rebounds

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/USD trades with a mild negative bias near 1.2760 on Wednesday. 
  • The US CB Consumer Confidence Index improved to 102.0 in May. 
  • The IMF raised the UK growth forecasts but anticipated two to three rate cuts from the BoE.

The GBP/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.2760 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The modest recovery of the US Dollar  (USD) and US yields amid the diminishing expectations of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighs on the major pair. The Fed’s Beige Book is due later on Wednesday and the Fed’s John Williams is due to speak.

Consumer Confidence improved slightly in May, the Conference Board reported on Tuesday. The figure rose to 102.0 in May from 97.0 in April, beating the estimation of 95.9. However, US consumers remain concerned about inflation, and many households believe interest rates will be higher over the next year.

Meanwhile, US Fed officials delivered more hawkish comments, boosting the Greenback broadly. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said on Tuesday that she would have supported either waiting to start slowing the quantitative tightening pace or a more moderate tapering process than announced earlier this month. Fed Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said that the central bank should wait for significant progress on inflation before cutting interest rates, adding that he expected no more than two rate cuts in 2024.

On the other hand, the expectation that the Bank of England (BoE) will start cutting the interest rate in June drags the Pound Sterling (GBP) lower. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised the UK growth forecasts but anticipated two to three rate cuts from the BoE. Amid the absence of top-tier economic data releases from the UK, the election speculation could drive movement in the Cable. The worries about political uncertainty might hurt the GBP and create a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. 

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.276
Today Daily Change -0.0010
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 1.277
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2613
Daily SMA50 1.2582
Daily SMA100 1.2634
Daily SMA200 1.2541
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2778
Previous Daily Low 1.2734
Previous Weekly High 1.2761
Previous Weekly Low 1.2676
Previous Monthly High 1.2709
Previous Monthly Low 1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2761
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2751
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2743
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2716
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2699
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2787
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2804
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2831

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Author  Mitrade
2 hours ago
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
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