NZD/USD Price Analysis: Stays on sidelines near 0.6100 ahead of RBNZ policy decision

Source Fxstreet
  • NZD/USD remains sideways with eyes on the RBNZ policy decision.
  • The RBNZ is expected to keep interest rates steady.
  • Fed officials are not confident in the progress of the disinflation process.

The NZD/USD pair consolidates in a tight range of 0.6100-0.6140 from the past three trading sessions. The Kiwi asset is expected to find direction after the announcement of the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), which is scheduled for Wednesday.

The RBNZ is widely expected to keep its Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 5.5%. Therefore, investors will focus on the interest rate guidance. Considering high inflation in the New Zealand region, the RBNZ is expected to hold interest rates steadily for a longer period. Currently, financial markets expect that the RBNZ will move to policy normalization in 2025.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar holds the crucial support of 104.50 as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers support for keeping interest rates at their current levels for a longer period. In the early American session, Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic commented that he is not in a hurry for rate cuts and wants to be sure that inflation will not bounce again before considering rate cuts. When asked about the timing for rate cuts, Bostic said he doesn't see them before the fourth quarter of this year.

NZD/USD extends recovery to 50% Fibonacci retracement (plotted from December 26 high at 0.6410 to April 19 low around 0.5850) at 0.6130 on a daily timeframe. The near-term outlook of the Kiwi asset has improved as the 20- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) around 0.6017. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shifted comfortably into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, suggesting that the momentum has leaned toward the upside.

An upside move above February 9 high of 0.6160 will drive the asset towards 61.8% Fibo retracement at 0.6200, followed by January 15 high near 0.6250

On the contrary, fresh downside would appear if the asset breaks below April 4 high around 0.6050 This would drag the asset towards the psychological support of 0.6000 and April 25 high at 0.5969.

NZD/USD daily chart

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6104
Today Daily Change -0.0002
Today Daily Change % -0.03
Today daily open 0.6106
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6007
Daily SMA50 0.6006
Daily SMA100 0.6075
Daily SMA200 0.604
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6139
Previous Daily Low 0.6096
Previous Weekly High 0.6146
Previous Weekly Low 0.5995
Previous Monthly High 0.6079
Previous Monthly Low 0.5851
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6112
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6123
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6088
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6071
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6045
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6131
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6157
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6174

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin To Anchor America Party—’Fiat Is Hopeless,’ Says Elon MuskMusk Pitches Bitcoin As Pillar Of America Party
Author  Bitcoinist
Jul 07, 2025
Musk Pitches Bitcoin As Pillar Of America Party
placeholder
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 17, 2025
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD opens lower around $4,450 on fears of widening Iran conflictsGold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 30, Mon
Gold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $72.00 amid fading safe-haven demandSilver price (XAG/USD) continues to lose ground after registering tiny losses in the previous day, trading around $72.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The safe-haven demand for the precious metal fades amid rising optimism over Middle East peace.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 08: 19
Silver price (XAG/USD) continues to lose ground after registering tiny losses in the previous day, trading around $72.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The safe-haven demand for the precious metal fades amid rising optimism over Middle East peace.
placeholder
Gold retreats sharply from two-week top/$4,800 as Trump’s Iran comments boost USDGold (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $4,800 mark, or a fresh two-week high set earlier this Thursday, and for now, seems to have snapped a four-day winning streak amid resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 07: 03
Gold (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $4,800 mark, or a fresh two-week high set earlier this Thursday, and for now, seems to have snapped a four-day winning streak amid resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote