USD/CHF drops to near 0.9000 due to dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CHF extends losses due to growing expectations of multiple rate cuts by the Fed in 2024.
  • Fed’s Neel Kashkari said that the US Fed should maintain policy rates at their current level for longer.
  • Traders await Swiss Industrial Production (Q1) due on Friday, seeking fresh impetus on manufacturing conditions in the country.

USD/CHF continues its losing streak, hovering around 0.9000 during the European trading session on Thursday. The pair received pressure as the US Dollar (USD) struggled due to growing expectations of multiple rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024.

This dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed was bolstered after the release of the lower-than-expected monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Sales data from the United States (US). US CPI decelerated to 0.3% month-over-month in April and came in at a lower-than-expected 0.4% reading. While Retail Sales flattened, falling short of the expected increase of 0.4%.

However, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari remarked on Wednesday that the US Fed should maintain policy rates at their current level "for a while longer until they ascertain the direction of underlying inflation."

On the Swiss front, Producer and Import Prices (YoY) decreased by 1.8% in April, showing a slight improvement from the previous decline of 2.1%. This marked the twelfth consecutive period of decrease, albeit at the slowest rate since December 2023.

Furthermore, traders are anticipated to closely observe Industrial Production (YoY) for the first quarter, set to be released on Friday. This report will offer insights into the volume of production across various sectors, including factories and manufacturing, in Switzerland.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9
Today Daily Change -0.0022
Today Daily Change % -0.24
Today daily open 0.9022
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9101
Daily SMA50 0.9026
Daily SMA100 0.8851
Daily SMA200 0.8871
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9071
Previous Daily Low 0.9015
Previous Weekly High 0.9099
Previous Weekly Low 0.9036
Previous Monthly High 0.9195
Previous Monthly Low 0.8998
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9036
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.905
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9001
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.898
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8945
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9057
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9092
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9113

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollarSpot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
Author  Suzie
Sep 20, Sun
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Author  Suzie
Sep 24, Thu
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
placeholder
Brent edges toward $99 as Trump rejects Iran's Hormuz proposal — why the war-risk premium won't rebuildBrent crude rose 0.92% to $98.51 and WTI gained 1.15% to $93.51 after President Trump rejected Iran's seven-day proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But both benchmarks remain about 12% below their early-September highs, because supply never actually stopped. Hormuz flows ran at 33.7 million barrels this week, in line with the prior week, and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline restarted on September 22.
Author  Suzie
23 hours ago
Brent crude rose 0.92% to $98.51 and WTI gained 1.15% to $93.51 after President Trump rejected Iran's seven-day proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. But both benchmarks remain about 12% below their early-September highs, because supply never actually stopped. Hormuz flows ran at 33.7 million barrels this week, in line with the prior week, and Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline restarted on September 22.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
22 hours ago
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote