USD/CHF remains above 0.9100, eyes on Fed’s policy decision

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CHF rebounds possibly due to the hawkish remarks from Fed officials.
  • Fed Chair Powell said that it may take "longer than expected" to gain confidence if inflation is weakening.
  • The Swiss KOF Leading Indicator indicated robust development in the domestic economy.

USD/CHF retraces its recent losses registered on Monday, trading around 0.9130 during the European session on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) appreciates, possibly due to hawkish remarks from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, indicating no immediate need for rate cuts. This has underpinned the USD/CHF pair.

According to a report by The Economic Times on Monday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that it may take "longer than expected" to gain confidence that inflation is progressing toward the central bank's 2% target. Powell also emphasized that the central bank can maintain high rates "as long as needed." Additionally, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman expressed concerns about "upside risks" to inflation. Meanwhile, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari floated the possibility of no rate cuts occurring this year.

On the Swiss side, the KOF Leading Indicator, which reflects GDP growth and economic trends in Switzerland, increased to 101.8 in April from a downwardly revised 100.4 in March, slightly below forecasts of 102.1. Although the figure suggests stabilization above the long-term average, indicating robust development in the Swiss economy, there is no strong upward momentum anticipated soon.

According to a report from Bloomberg, Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas J. Jordan said last Friday that the central bank is dedicated to closely monitoring inflation. Jordan emphasized that the SNB is prepared to lower interest rates further if needed. While highlighting the SNB's achievements in addressing inflation, he also warned of ongoing high uncertainty and the potential for unexpected shocks.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9126
Today Daily Change 0.0022
Today Daily Change % 0.24
Today daily open 0.9104
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9097
Daily SMA50 0.896
Daily SMA100 0.8794
Daily SMA200 0.8849
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9154
Previous Daily Low 0.9088
Previous Weekly High 0.9157
Previous Weekly Low 0.9087
Previous Monthly High 0.9072
Previous Monthly Low 0.873
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9113
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9129
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9077
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.905
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9012
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9143
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9181
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9208

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Author  Mitrade
2 hours ago
Bitcoin has dropped back below $88,000 after rolling over from $90,500, with price still trading under the 100-hour Simple Moving Average. The sell-off found a floor at $85,151, and BTC is now consolidating near that base, but rebounds are facing pressure from a bearish trend line around $89,000. Bulls need to retake $88,000–$89,000 to ease downside risk; failure to do so keeps $85,500–$85,000 and then $83,500 in play, with $80,000 as the deeper “line in the sand.” Bitcoin (BTC) is back in damage-control mode after a sharp pullback wiped out recent gains. The price failed to reclaim the $90,000–$90,500 band, rolled over, and slid through $88,500 before briefly dipping under $87,000. Buyers did show up around $85,000, but the rebound so far looks more like stabilization than a clear trend reversal. Bitcoin dips hard, finds a bid near $85,000(h3) BTC’s latest move lower began when it couldn’t build follow-through above $90,000 and $90,500. Once that upside stalled, sellers took control and pushed price down through $88,500. The slide accelerated enough to spike below $87,000, but the market didn’t free-fall. Bulls defended the $85,000 zone, printing a low at $85,151. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from the $93,560 swing high to the $85,151 low — a clue that the bounce is still shallow and that sellers haven’t fully backed off yet. Structurally, BTC is still on the back foot: It’s trading below $88,000, and It remains below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average, keeping short-term trend pressure pointed downward. Resistance is layered, and $89,000 is the problem area(h3) If bulls try to turn this into a recovery, they’ll have to climb through multiple ceilings in quick succession. First, BTC faces resistance around $87,150, followed by a more meaningful barrier near $87,500. From there, the market’s attention snaps back to $88,000 — the level BTC just lost and now needs to reclaim. A close back above $88,000 would improve the tone, but it doesn’t solve the bigger issue: there’s a bearish trend line on the hourly BTC/USD chart (Kraken feed) with resistance near $89,000, which also lines up with the next technical hurdle. If BTC can push through $89,000 and hold, the rebound could extend toward $90,000, with follow-through targets at $91,000 and $91,500. But until price clears that $88,000–$89,000 zone, rallies are at risk of being sold rather than chased. If BTC fails to reclaim resistance, the downside path is clear(h3) The near-term bear case is simple: if Bitcoin can’t climb back above the $87,000 area and keep traction, sellers may attempt another leg lower. Support levels line up like this: Immediate support: $85,500 First major support: $85,000 Next support: $83,500 Then $82,500 in the near term Below that, the major “don’t break this” level is still $80,000. If BTC slips under $80,000, the risk of acceleration to the downside increases significantly — not because it’s magic, but because it’s the kind of psychological and structural level that tends to trigger forced de-risking. Indicators: momentum still leans bearish(h3) The intraday indicators aren’t offering much comfort yet: Hourly MACD is losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI remains below 50, suggesting sellers still have the upper hand on short timeframes. So while the $85,000 defense held for now, the market hasn’t flipped bullish — it’s just stopped bleeding.
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