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PBoC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1056 vs 7.1058 previous
Source Fxstreet
On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.1056 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1058 and 7.2396 Reuters estimates.
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Insights – This week, the U.S. will release October CPI data, with inflation expected to face challenges in easing further. Retail sales data will also be closely watched for insights into the economy, guiding the Fed's future policy.
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
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