EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Rallies to almost 16-year high, buyers eye 167.00

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/JPY surges to levels not seen since August 2008, capitalizing on a broader Yen weakness.
  • Technical indicators suggest potential for further advances after clearing resistance at 165.30, towards the 169.47 high of August 2008.
  • Downside risks remain once EUR/JPY retreats below the recent high of 166.22.

The Euro rallied to a near 16-year high against the Japanese Yen, hitting levels last seen in August 2008, with the latter remaining the laggard in the FX space. Data from the United States (US) prompted investors to buy the Greenback, which sent USD/JPY to refresh multi-year highs. Therefore, the EUR/JPY followed suit and trades at 166.67, gaining more than 0.20%.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY is bullish-biased after consolidating since mid-March below the 165.30s area, previously guarded by March’s 20 high at 165.33. The uptrend resumed toward the 166.00 mark, yet once buyers cleared that hurdle, extending the move to 167.00.

Nevertheless, the EUR/JPY has retreated as buyers take a breather. The momentum its on their side, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) standing at 68.80, shy of signaling the pair is overbought.

If buyers clear 167.00, that will exacerbate a rally to challenge August’s 2008 monthly high at 169.47, ahead of the psychological 170.00 barrier.

On the other hand, if sellers drag the exchange rate below 166.22 April 24 daily high, that could open the door to sliding toward the March 20 high of 165.33. Subsequent losses beyond this support target the confluence of the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen at 164.83/64.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 166.71
Today Daily Change 0.51
Today Daily Change % 0.31
Today daily open 166.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 164.31
Daily SMA50 163.35
Daily SMA100 160.95
Daily SMA200 159.84
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 166.23
Previous Daily Low 165.4
Previous Weekly High 165.03
Previous Weekly Low 162.67
Previous Monthly High 165.36
Previous Monthly Low 160.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 165.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 165.72
Daily Pivot Point S1 165.65
Daily Pivot Point S2 165.11
Daily Pivot Point S3 164.82
Daily Pivot Point R1 166.49
Daily Pivot Point R2 166.78
Daily Pivot Point R3 167.32

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar presses 102 as the 10-year yield sits at 5.14% — and October hike odds are only 17%The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 20, Tue
The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
placeholder
Meta's AI bill just hit $145 billion — and it issued a new share class to pay for itMeta reported record third-quarter revenue of $64.60 billion, up 26% from a year earlier, and raised full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $135-145 billion from $130-145 billion. To fund that build-out without touching Mark Zuckerberg's voting control, the company announced a 2-for-1 stock split that hands every Class A holder a new non-voting Class C share. Here are the four lines that matter, the peer group that is being re-rated alongside it, and the bull and bear cases.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
Meta reported record third-quarter revenue of $64.60 billion, up 26% from a year earlier, and raised full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $135-145 billion from $130-145 billion. To fund that build-out without touching Mark Zuckerberg's voting control, the company announced a 2-for-1 stock split that hands every Class A holder a new non-voting Class C share. Here are the four lines that matter, the peer group that is being re-rated alongside it, and the bull and bear cases.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 02: 56
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nasdaq closes at 26,008.86 — 8.9 points above 26,000, and the credit market never blinkedThe Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 39
The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote