USD/CAD moves below 1.3700 due to risk-on mood, US GDP awaited

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD loses ground due to improving risk appetite.
  • The US Dollar depreciates following the subdued US Treasury yields.
  • The lower Canadian Retail Sales figures have fueled speculation that the BoC might opt to reduce interest rates in June.

USD/CAD pares its recent gains registered in the previous session, trading around 1.3670 during the European hours on Thursday. The improving risk appetite weakens the US Dollar (USD), undermining the USD/CAD pair.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, edging lower to near 105.60, down by 0.23%, by the press time on Thursday. The decline in the US Treasury yields, following mixed manufacturing data from the United States (US), put pressure on the Greenback.

According to the US Department of Commerce's report on Wednesday, US Durable Goods Orders surged by 2.6% month-over-month (MoM) in March, surpassing the previous reading of 0.7% and beating the estimated 2.5%. This marked the largest monthly increase in durable goods orders since last November, driven primarily by strong demand for transport equipment. Meanwhile, core goods, excluding transportation, only increased by 0.2% MoM, falling short of the expected 0.3%.

On Thursday, the preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q1) data for the United States (US) is scheduled to be released, with expectations of a slowdown in the growth rate. These GDP figures will provide insights into the strength of the US economy and could potentially influence future actions by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggled after lower-than-expected Retail Sales data was released on Wednesday. This has sparked speculation that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may consider cutting interest rates at its next meeting in June. This sentiment may weigh on the Loonie Dollar (CAD).

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3672
Today Daily Change -0.0031
Today Daily Change % -0.23
Today daily open 1.3703
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3657
Daily SMA50 1.3579
Daily SMA100 1.3498
Daily SMA200 1.3537
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3729
Previous Daily Low 1.3655
Previous Weekly High 1.3846
Previous Weekly Low 1.3724
Previous Monthly High 1.3614
Previous Monthly Low 1.342
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3701
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3683
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3662
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3622
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3588
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3737
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.377
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3811

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold falls to two‑month low below $4,050 as oil spikesGold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 23, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 23, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nasdaq closes at 26,008.86 — 8.9 points above 26,000, and the credit market never blinkedThe Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
placeholder
Brent tops $113 on Saudi supply risk — but the diesel line in the EIA report is the tellBrent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
Brent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote