NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bearish momentum strengthens as sellers reclaim the 20-day SMA

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily chart of the NZD/JPY indicates a weakening momentum, with RSI and MACD signifying rising selling pressure.
  • The NZD/JPY plunged below the crucial short-term 20-day SMA, hinting at immediate bearish prospects.
  • Despite recent bearish actions, the long-term outlook continues to favor buyers.

The NZD/JPY declined to 91.00, down by 0.27% on Friday. Bears are quietly gaining ground conquering the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the selling traction is mounting. On the broader outlook, the trend is still bullish.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pair reveals a recent drift into negative territory towards 47, indicating weakening momentum. Likewise, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) paints a similar picture with a fresh red bar, signaling a growing bearish momentum. These indicators collectively imply sellers' dominance in the current market scenario.

NZD/JPY daily chart

Upon examining the hourly chart, the RSI stands below its middle points, also adding arguments for a negative short-term outlook. In addition, the MACD histogram is printing decreasing green bars a clear indication of diminishing bullish momentum.

NZD/JPY hourly chart

When turning the lens to the broader landscape, NZD/JPY underwent substantial changes on Friday. The pair sunk beneath the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), a significant short-term technical indicator, thus potentially establishing a bearish outlook in the immediate future. Despite this, the pair has managed to maintain its position above the 100-day and 200-day SMAs, revealing sustained bullish momentum over a more extended period. That being said, as bears gather ground, they might make a stride toward the 100-day SMA at around 90.60 which in case of conquering it, would worsen the outlook for the pair.

 

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 90.99
Today Daily Change -0.28
Today Daily Change % -0.31
Today daily open 91.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 91.05
Daily SMA50 91.44
Daily SMA100 90.67
Daily SMA200 89.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 91.62
Previous Daily Low 91.18
Previous Weekly High 92.37
Previous Weekly Low 90.7
Previous Monthly High 92.2
Previous Monthly Low 90.17
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 91.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 91.45
Daily Pivot Point S1 91.09
Daily Pivot Point S2 90.92
Daily Pivot Point S3 90.66
Daily Pivot Point R1 91.53
Daily Pivot Point R2 91.79
Daily Pivot Point R3 91.96

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 16
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Yesterday 07: 49
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 10: 37
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
5 hours ago
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote