NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bearish momentum strengthens as sellers reclaim the 20-day SMA

Source Fxstreet
  • The daily chart of the NZD/JPY indicates a weakening momentum, with RSI and MACD signifying rising selling pressure.
  • The NZD/JPY plunged below the crucial short-term 20-day SMA, hinting at immediate bearish prospects.
  • Despite recent bearish actions, the long-term outlook continues to favor buyers.

The NZD/JPY declined to 91.00, down by 0.27% on Friday. Bears are quietly gaining ground conquering the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the selling traction is mounting. On the broader outlook, the trend is still bullish.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pair reveals a recent drift into negative territory towards 47, indicating weakening momentum. Likewise, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) paints a similar picture with a fresh red bar, signaling a growing bearish momentum. These indicators collectively imply sellers' dominance in the current market scenario.

NZD/JPY daily chart

Upon examining the hourly chart, the RSI stands below its middle points, also adding arguments for a negative short-term outlook. In addition, the MACD histogram is printing decreasing green bars a clear indication of diminishing bullish momentum.

NZD/JPY hourly chart

When turning the lens to the broader landscape, NZD/JPY underwent substantial changes on Friday. The pair sunk beneath the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), a significant short-term technical indicator, thus potentially establishing a bearish outlook in the immediate future. Despite this, the pair has managed to maintain its position above the 100-day and 200-day SMAs, revealing sustained bullish momentum over a more extended period. That being said, as bears gather ground, they might make a stride toward the 100-day SMA at around 90.60 which in case of conquering it, would worsen the outlook for the pair.

 

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 90.99
Today Daily Change -0.28
Today Daily Change % -0.31
Today daily open 91.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 91.05
Daily SMA50 91.44
Daily SMA100 90.67
Daily SMA200 89.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 91.62
Previous Daily Low 91.18
Previous Weekly High 92.37
Previous Weekly Low 90.7
Previous Monthly High 92.2
Previous Monthly Low 90.17
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 91.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 91.45
Daily Pivot Point S1 91.09
Daily Pivot Point S2 90.92
Daily Pivot Point S3 90.66
Daily Pivot Point R1 91.53
Daily Pivot Point R2 91.79
Daily Pivot Point R3 91.96

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Silver breaks $64 as precious metals rebound — can gold hold the $4,280 line into the Fed decision?Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
Author  Suzie
Sep 16, Wed
Silver has climbed back above $64 an ounce for the first time this week, leading a broad rebound across precious metals hours before the Federal Reserve delivers what is expected to be its first rate hike since 2023. Spot silver was last at $64.64, up 1.49% on the day, while gold reclaimed $4,300 and platinum and palladium both advanced. The question now is whether the bounce is a genuine turn — or a pause before the Fed's dot plot decides the next move.
placeholder
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as the CLARITY Act fails in the Senate — what the vote means for cryptoThe US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Author  Suzie
Sep 16, Wed
The US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 02: 54
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 02: 45
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote