GBP/JPY holds below 192.00 following UK Retail Sales data

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/JPY loses momentum around 191.65, down 0.31% on the day. 
  • The UK Retail Sales came in at 0% MoM in March from a 0.1% rise in the previous reading, weaker than expected. 
  • The report that an Israeli missile has hit Iran lift the Japanese Yen against the Pound Sterling. 

The GBP/JPY cross edges lower to 191.72 during the early European session on Friday. The downbeat UK Retail Sales weigh on the Pound Sterling (GBP). Additionally, the rising tension between Israel and Iran heightens concerns of a wider conflict in the Middle East, providing some support to safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen (JPY) and creating a headwind for the GBP/JPY cross. 

The latest data from the Office for National Statistics showed on Friday that UK Retail Sales arrived at 0% MoM in March from a 0.1% rise in the previous reading, weaker than the market expectation of 0.3%. Meanwhile, the Retail Sales ex-fuel dropped by 0.3% MoM, compared with a 0.3% increase in February. In response to the UK Retail Sales figures, The Pound Sterling (GBP) remains under selling pressure against the JPY. 

On the other hand, Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Asahi Noguchi said on Thursday that the “main scenario is that future rate hikes are likely to be slow, but that depends on economic data, while BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said that the Japanese central bank may raise interest rates again if the Yen's declines considerably increase inflation. Ueda further stated that the impact of FX moves might affect the timing of the next policy shift. 
 
Early Friday, US officials told CBS News that an Israeli missile had hit Iran. Blasts were reported in the central province of Isfahan, however, it is unclear what was targeted. Iran is on high alert after Israel said that it would retaliate to an Iranian strike on Saturday night. The escalating tensions between Israel and Iran could boost the safe-haven flow demand and continue to lift the JPY.  

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 191.64
Today Daily Change -0.68
Today Daily Change % -0.35
Today daily open 192.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 191.57
Daily SMA50 190.6
Daily SMA100 187.45
Daily SMA200 185.51
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 192.79
Previous Daily Low 191.91
Previous Weekly High 193.02
Previous Weekly Low 190
Previous Monthly High 193.54
Previous Monthly Low 187.96
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 192.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 192.25
Daily Pivot Point S1 191.89
Daily Pivot Point S2 191.46
Daily Pivot Point S3 191.02
Daily Pivot Point R1 192.77
Daily Pivot Point R2 193.22
Daily Pivot Point R3 193.65

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 14, Mon
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 23
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 08: 16
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote