USD/JPY Price Analysis: Dominant uptrend continues

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY extends its uptrend into the 154.00s. 
  • It may be forming a Measured Move pattern with an end target of 156.11. 
  • RSI is overbought, however, warning a correction may be on the horizon. 

USD/JPY is trading in the upper 154.00s. It has formed what looks like a Measured Move price pattern composed of three waves, commonly labeled A, B and C. 

In the case of Measured Moves, the end of wave C can be reliably predicted because it is often at the point where wave C is equal in length to wave A, or a Fibonacci ratio of wave A. At the very least wave C normally extends to a 0.618 ratio of A. 

USD/JPY Daily Chart

The end of C if it ends equal to A it will reach roughly 156.11 and there is a chance the rally could extend that high. 

However, it is also the case that price has already reached the conservative target for the end of wave C at the Fib. 0.618 extension of A, at 154.20, which means there is a possibility it may have unfolded to its limit. 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is well into overbought territory, recommending bullish traders with a medium-term outlook should not increase their long bets. If RSI exits overbought it may be a sign USD/JPY is pulling back. 

For USD/JPY bulls the important thing is that price itself continues to rise and as long as it does the uptrend is likely to continue.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Trump Withdrawal Intent Reshapes Liquidity, Bitcoin Breaks $68,000 MarkUS and Iran signal ceasefire talks; Bitcoin breaks $68,000, expected to continue rebounding in the short term.On April 1, Bitcoin ( BTC) prices continued to rebound, strengthening further
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
US and Iran signal ceasefire talks; Bitcoin breaks $68,000, expected to continue rebounding in the short term.On April 1, Bitcoin ( BTC) prices continued to rebound, strengthening further
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: US and Iran Signal Willingness to End Conflict, Three Major US Stock Indexes Surge, Dollar Ends Five-Day Winning StreakAs the U.S. and Iran signaled a de-escalation of their conflict, market risk appetite recovered significantly, with the three major U.S. stock indices rebounding sharply to record their l
Author  TradingKey
20 hours ago
As the U.S. and Iran signaled a de-escalation of their conflict, market risk appetite recovered significantly, with the three major U.S. stock indices rebounding sharply to record their l
placeholder
Brent: Forecast lifted with $150 risk – Societe GeneraleSociete Generale’s commodities team has revised its Oil outlook, warning Brent could spike towards $150/bbl in a higher‑for‑longer scenario if the Strait of Hormuz is shut for two months.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 31, Tue
Societe Generale’s commodities team has revised its Oil outlook, warning Brent could spike towards $150/bbl in a higher‑for‑longer scenario if the Strait of Hormuz is shut for two months.
placeholder
Australian Dollar advances as RBA Minutes flag more tighteningAUD/USD halts its five-day losing streak, trading around 0.6860 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair advances as the Australian Dollar (AUD) receives support after the Reserve Bank of Australia released its March Meeting Minutes.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 31, Tue
AUD/USD halts its five-day losing streak, trading around 0.6860 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair advances as the Australian Dollar (AUD) receives support after the Reserve Bank of Australia released its March Meeting Minutes.
placeholder
USD/JPY Hits 160.00 Mark, Will Japanese Government Intervene? Will the Currency’s Rally Be Contained?As of March 30, the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen ( USDJPY) continues to fluctuate at high levels near the 160 mark, with the Yen having fallen to a nearly one-year low. Expectations
Author  TradingKey
Mar 30, Mon
As of March 30, the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen ( USDJPY) continues to fluctuate at high levels near the 160 mark, with the Yen having fallen to a nearly one-year low. Expectations
Related Instrument
goTop
quote