USD/JPY Price Analysis: Dominant uptrend continues

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY extends its uptrend into the 154.00s. 
  • It may be forming a Measured Move pattern with an end target of 156.11. 
  • RSI is overbought, however, warning a correction may be on the horizon. 

USD/JPY is trading in the upper 154.00s. It has formed what looks like a Measured Move price pattern composed of three waves, commonly labeled A, B and C. 

In the case of Measured Moves, the end of wave C can be reliably predicted because it is often at the point where wave C is equal in length to wave A, or a Fibonacci ratio of wave A. At the very least wave C normally extends to a 0.618 ratio of A. 

USD/JPY Daily Chart

The end of C if it ends equal to A it will reach roughly 156.11 and there is a chance the rally could extend that high. 

However, it is also the case that price has already reached the conservative target for the end of wave C at the Fib. 0.618 extension of A, at 154.20, which means there is a possibility it may have unfolded to its limit. 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is well into overbought territory, recommending bullish traders with a medium-term outlook should not increase their long bets. If RSI exits overbought it may be a sign USD/JPY is pulling back. 

For USD/JPY bulls the important thing is that price itself continues to rise and as long as it does the uptrend is likely to continue.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 14
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
placeholder
Japanese Yen drifts lower as sustained USD buying offsets intervention fearsThe USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 07: 53
The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
placeholder
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to return to 0.7000 amid firm US DollarThe Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
23 hours ago
The Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
placeholder
WTI rises to near $89.50 as Middle East supply threats offset Persian Gulf recoveryWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Author  FXStreet
7 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote