USD/JPY Price Analysis: Dominant uptrend continues

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY extends its uptrend into the 154.00s. 
  • It may be forming a Measured Move pattern with an end target of 156.11. 
  • RSI is overbought, however, warning a correction may be on the horizon. 

USD/JPY is trading in the upper 154.00s. It has formed what looks like a Measured Move price pattern composed of three waves, commonly labeled A, B and C. 

In the case of Measured Moves, the end of wave C can be reliably predicted because it is often at the point where wave C is equal in length to wave A, or a Fibonacci ratio of wave A. At the very least wave C normally extends to a 0.618 ratio of A. 

USD/JPY Daily Chart

The end of C if it ends equal to A it will reach roughly 156.11 and there is a chance the rally could extend that high. 

However, it is also the case that price has already reached the conservative target for the end of wave C at the Fib. 0.618 extension of A, at 154.20, which means there is a possibility it may have unfolded to its limit. 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is well into overbought territory, recommending bullish traders with a medium-term outlook should not increase their long bets. If RSI exits overbought it may be a sign USD/JPY is pulling back. 

For USD/JPY bulls the important thing is that price itself continues to rise and as long as it does the uptrend is likely to continue.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Weekly Report: Gold up 4.5%, Brent down 16.4% — three commodity regimes just resetGold rose 4.51% to $4,074.90 while Brent fell 16.42% to $98.32 in the same five sessions — two inflation hedges, opposite answers. Around them, the gold-silver ratio sits at 78.7 and copper fell 3.72%. Three regime signals, two of them close to flipping, define what commodity traders must re-price before Tuesday's CPI.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 05
Gold rose 4.51% to $4,074.90 while Brent fell 16.42% to $98.32 in the same five sessions — two inflation hedges, opposite answers. Around them, the gold-silver ratio sits at 78.7 and copper fell 3.72%. Three regime signals, two of them close to flipping, define what commodity traders must re-price before Tuesday's CPI.
placeholder
The CPI that has no year-over-year number is the one that decides DecemberOctober CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 03: 23
October CPI lands on Nov 10 at 13:30 GMT, and it will be published without a year-over-year figure: BLS never collected October 2025 prices during the federal shutdown. Consensus is +0.3% headline and +0.2% core month-on-month, against +0.6% and +0.3% in September. With December hike odds at 77%, the month-on-month print is now the whole story, and $4,197–4,202 on gold and 4.86% on the 10-year are the levels that price it.
placeholder
US October CPI Preview: Inflation Growth May Slow, How Will US Stocks, Dollar and Gold React? On Tuesday (Nov. 10) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation reading ahead of the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision. Th
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 08: 08
On Tuesday (Nov. 10) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation reading ahead of the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision. Th
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - November 10, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 10, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
10 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for November 10, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nvidia fell 4.3% on a day the Nasdaq rose 2.7% — this is a governance discount, not an AI warningNvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
Author  Irene Q.
8 hours ago
Nvidia closed at $178.67 on November 9, down 4.27% with an intraday low of $170.24, while the Nasdaq rose 2.74% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 6.85%. Volume was roughly 2.5 times the prior session. The board opened an independent review after CEO Jensen Huang's public statement about his personal life. With Q3 earnings on November 17, the two levels that matter are $170.24 and $200."
Related Instrument
goTop
quote