USD/JPY Price Analysis: Dominant uptrend continues

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/JPY extends its uptrend into the 154.00s. 
  • It may be forming a Measured Move pattern with an end target of 156.11. 
  • RSI is overbought, however, warning a correction may be on the horizon. 

USD/JPY is trading in the upper 154.00s. It has formed what looks like a Measured Move price pattern composed of three waves, commonly labeled A, B and C. 

In the case of Measured Moves, the end of wave C can be reliably predicted because it is often at the point where wave C is equal in length to wave A, or a Fibonacci ratio of wave A. At the very least wave C normally extends to a 0.618 ratio of A. 

USD/JPY Daily Chart

The end of C if it ends equal to A it will reach roughly 156.11 and there is a chance the rally could extend that high. 

However, it is also the case that price has already reached the conservative target for the end of wave C at the Fib. 0.618 extension of A, at 154.20, which means there is a possibility it may have unfolded to its limit. 

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is well into overbought territory, recommending bullish traders with a medium-term outlook should not increase their long bets. If RSI exits overbought it may be a sign USD/JPY is pulling back. 

For USD/JPY bulls the important thing is that price itself continues to rise and as long as it does the uptrend is likely to continue.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
Gold climbs to $5,050 as Fed-driven USD weakness offsets positive risk tone ahead of US NFPGold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Feb 11, Wed
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
placeholder
Gold declines below $4,500 on stalled US-Iran ceasefire talks, US NFP data loomsGold price (XAU/USD) edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Jun 05, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 
placeholder
Fed Chair Warsh Says Inflation Risks Are Receding, Sending Gold Rebounding by Nearly $100On Wednesday (July 1), Eastern Time, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated at the ECB's annual forum in Sintra, Portugal, that while recent US inflation expectations and inflation risks h
Author  TradingKey
23 hours ago
On Wednesday (July 1), Eastern Time, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated at the ECB's annual forum in Sintra, Portugal, that while recent US inflation expectations and inflation risks h
placeholder
Japanese Yen recovers sharply from 40-year low as intervention bets trigger short-coveringThe USD/JPY pair comes under intense selling pressure and plummets to the 161.00 neighborhood heading into the European session on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak to the highest since 1986 set the previous day.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair comes under intense selling pressure and plummets to the 161.00 neighborhood heading into the European session on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak to the highest since 1986 set the previous day.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote